NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	3.0 [1169]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +9.5%
Miami Heat	83		Comeback	1.0 [1100]		LVP	Anthony Carter (MIA): -8.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.05	11	71%	0.12	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	25	57%	0.09	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.02	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	8	87%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	18	63%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Sean Lampley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ken Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	8	47%	-0.02	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	13	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	30.2	15.8	29.3	2.4	24.4	127.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +47.4%

MIA -5.6%

PHI +8.4%

MIA -0.8%

PHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	15.5	110.8	89.2	101.6
season	15.3	16.3		102.1	94.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.7	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	15.0	15.0	18.9	15.6
MIA	12.9	17.9	15.0	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	2	16	15.6	16.1	-0.52	15.4	14.9	0.48
Kenny Thomas	55	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	7	6	15.8	15.5	0.29	15.1	15.6	-0.45
Derrick Coleman	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.17	18	2	16	14.3	16.5	-2.20	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Keith Van Horn	63	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	11	-2	15.7	15.5	0.17	14.9	16.1	-1.16
Eric Snow	69	69	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	13	-6	15.6	15.7	-0.14	14.7	17.1	-2.37
Aaron McKie	45	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	13	-6	17.5	13.9	3.66	16.2	14.5	1.69
Tyrone Hill	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	15	-10	15.0	16.5	-1.46	15.5	15.1	0.30
Greg Buckner	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	11	-2	16.2	15.4	0.77	17.2	14.4	2.76
Monty Williams	11	12	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.18	8	12	-4	13.5	15.9	-2.48	15.5	15.3	0.20
John Salmons	4	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.17	6	14	-8	15.7	15.6	0.11	10.2	15.7	-5.51
Efthimios Rentzias	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	13.7	15.7	-2.04	13.0	15.4	-2.40
Brian Skinner	9	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	23	-26	16.6	15.5	1.01	16.2	15.2	1.01

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ken Johnson	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-14	8	11.6	15.5	-3.93	15.7	15.6	0.11
Sean Lampley	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-18	16	18.3	15.1	3.20	12.1	15.9	-3.79
Rasual Butler	21	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	-9	-2	15.2	15.4	-0.17	15.9	15.6	0.29
Anthony Carter	58	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-19	18	15.0	15.8	-0.81	15.0	16.7	-1.67
Vladimir Stepania	50	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-14	8	15.6	15.0	0.51	17.5	13.7	3.75
Eddie House	66	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-6	-8	14.7	17.0	-2.31	14.9	17.3	-2.35
Mike James	38	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-14	8	16.8	14.3	2.44	18.0	13.9	4.13
Travis Best	35	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.24	-19	-1	-18	15.8	15.0	0.81	16.7	15.0	1.67
Malik Allen	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-8	-4	15.9	14.5	1.35	15.3	16.2	-0.87
Caron Butler	69	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-11	2	15.0	16.3	-1.36	15.0	17.5	-2.51
Brian Grant	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-6	-8	14.9	16.2	-1.35	14.8	17.3	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAS 117, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.04,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0	96.6%
SAC 101, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%