NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	111		Excitement	3.7 [1048]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +9.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.2 [991]		LVP	Dajuan Wagner (CLE): -10.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	15	74%	0.15	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Gary Payton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.04	22	51%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	18	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	3	37%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	14	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	0.00	0.09	11	86%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	11	36%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	21	41%	-0.06	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	15	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	26.2	14.7	21.7	1.5	30.3	122.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +40.0%

CLE -0.4%

SEA +11.1%

CLE -0.6%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CLE	NBA	SEA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.5	114.4	102.1	101.6
season	16.5	15.1		101.7	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.6		104.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.5	13.3	18.0	18.4	15.3
CLE	15.2	13.9	14.8	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	80	81	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-1	15	15.5	14.1	1.47	14.7	14.0	0.68
Gary Payton	78	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	4	5	15.3	15.3	-0.06	14.5	15.0	-0.54
Desmond Mason	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	5	3	15.2	15.3	-0.07	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Predrag Drobnjak	65	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	4	5	15.8	14.2	1.57	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Kenny Anderson	28	27	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	6	1	14.1	15.8	-1.68	14.6	14.6	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	48	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	8	-3	15.9	14.7	1.16	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Brent Barry	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	8	-3	14.6	15.7	-1.18	14.1	14.9	-0.86
Calvin Booth	32	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	9	-5	14.2	15.8	-1.57	15.2	14.2	0.97
Reggie Evans	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	9	-5	15.6	15.0	0.59	15.5	13.8	1.75

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	54	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-16	19	14.4	14.8	-0.34	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Smush Parker	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-5	-3	14.7	14.5	0.18	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Jumaine Jones	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-12	11	14.8	14.3	0.46	17.2	13.2	3.95
DeSagana Diop	13	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	-3	-7	14.9	14.5	0.41	12.1	15.8	-3.71
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-7	1	14.7	14.4	0.25	16.2	13.7	2.48
Carlos Boozer	67	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	14.4	15.0	-0.61	15.1	15.8	-0.71
Dajuan Wagner	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-7	1	14.3	15.2	-0.91	14.8	16.4	-1.63
Milt Palacio	62	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	4	-21	14.7	14.3	0.48	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Ricky Davis	82	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	0	-13	14.6	14.3	0.34	15.3	14.8	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 112, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
GSW 112, OKC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0	96.8%
HOU 118, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%