NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	8.8 [157]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +37.3%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	12.3 [60]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -18.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.06,0.37	0.04	0.33	-0.00	12	57%	0.46	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.05
Carlos Boozer	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.19	0.04	0.15	0.00	15	55%	0.23	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.17	2	-0.11	8	87%	0.04
Gordan Giricek	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.06	0.01	11	55%	0.14	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.05
Mehmet Okur	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	62%	0.12	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.03	-0.16	-0.00	14	43%	-0.09	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	10	63%	0.21	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.11
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	15	52%	0.15	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.06
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.01	13	63%	0.22	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	63%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.08
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	8	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.6	29.2	14.8	31.0	1.8	36.2	140.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.6%

PHX -7.8%

UTA +35.3%

PHX -29.6%

UTA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	12.4	15.4	108.0	103.0	104.5
season	15.9	13.8		107.4	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.0		105.0	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	16.8	16.8	14.2	16.3
PHX	13.9	10.5	11.5	14.0	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	63	64	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.32	14	-10	24	16.2	16.4	-0.23	12.5	12.3	0.23
Carlos Boozer	69	69	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.52	5	-1	6	15.7	17.5	-1.87	13.4	10.2	3.17
Derek Fisher	51	55	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.34	11	-7	18	16.6	15.9	0.71	12.5	12.3	0.12
Deron Williams	76	75	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.57	-9	13	-22	15.8	17.7	-1.85	12.2	13.0	-0.84
Andrei Kirilenko	85	86	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	-3	10	16.4	15.3	1.09	12.4	12.7	-0.29
Jarron Collins	11	12	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	-5	14	15.5	16.4	-0.91	12.6	12.4	0.19
Gordan Giricek	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.17	8	-4	12	16.0	16.4	-0.43	12.7	12.3	0.35
CJ Miles	35	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	3	-2	17.6	15.6	2.02	13.4	11.9	1.46
Paul Millsap	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	5	-6	20.6	15.9	4.64	9.4	12.6	-3.21
Ronnie Brewer	9	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	6	-8	14.0	16.5	-2.48	9.5	12.7	-3.17
Mehmet Okur	62	62	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.39	-23	27	-50	16.4	16.0	0.42	11.5	13.9	-2.37

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	65	64	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.35	5	-9	14	12.9	11.6	1.29	16.9	15.1	1.84
Kurt Thomas	68	68	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.49	16	-20	36	11.5	14.3	-2.85	16.0	16.9	-0.95
Leandro Barbosa	80	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.48	10	-14	24	12.0	14.1	-2.12	16.1	16.7	-0.55
James Jones	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.45	9	-13	22	12.1	12.6	-0.51	15.0	16.9	-1.89
Marcus Banks	33	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-1	-2	11.5	12.9	-1.38	16.0	16.4	-0.43
Boris Diaw	32	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	13	-30	12.2	12.5	-0.33	17.1	15.9	1.18
Amar'e Stoudemire	33	32	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	16	-36	14.3	11.5	2.85	16.9	16.0	0.95
Steve Nash	74	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	2	-8	12.8	11.3	1.58	16.3	16.2	0.05
Shawn Marion	85	84	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.48	-14	10	-24	12.7	10.9	1.76	16.2	16.7	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.79,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 96, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.85,0	89.3%
MEM 93, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.92,0	88.4%
DET 105, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.58,0	88.1%