NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	105		Excitement	9.5 [82]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +40.4%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	4.4 [77]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -16.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.4	0.07	0.33	-0.00	6	92%	0.47	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.2,0.2	0.04	0.17	0.01	11	64%	0.25	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	12	63%	0.25	3	-0.12	3	33%	-0.08
Zeljko Rebraca	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	69%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Dana Barros	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	52%	-0.04	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	5	36%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	19	62%	0.08	8	-0.21	10	90%	0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.24,0.18	0.18	-0.05	0.19	-0.05	25	44%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.09
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	15	70%	0.17	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	6	64%	0.15	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	48%	-0.04	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.03,-0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.16	-0.16	0.01	-0.18	-0.00	19	50%	-0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.6	16.6	24.2	2.4	43.3	142.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +99.3%

ORL -16.9%

DET +4.4%

ORL -37.0%

DET +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	13.9	15.6	112.9	106.4	102.3
season	15.7	14.6		101.9	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.8		103.3	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.8	17.5	19.9	14.2	17.0
ORL	11.5	14.5	16.1	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeljko Rebraca	37	39	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-1	7	17.4	16.7	0.77	14.4	13.5	0.87
Clifford Robinson	85	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-3	11	16.7	19.9	-3.18	14.0	12.0	2.05
Corliss Williamson	45	46	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	0	5	17.9	16.1	1.87	14.8	12.9	1.95
Jon Barry	73	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-3	11	16.4	19.0	-2.65	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Chucky Atkins	55	56	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	6	-7	16.0	18.4	-2.46	13.9	13.7	0.24
Dana Barros	44	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	-2	9	16.3	17.6	-1.32	12.4	15.1	-2.67
Mikki Moore	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	6	-7	18.4	16.9	1.51	11.4	14.0	-2.59
Ben Wallace	50	51	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.09	0	5	-5	18.4	15.3	3.14	14.5	13.1	1.31
Michael Curry	71	70	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.12	-7	12	-19	17.1	16.5	0.61	13.3	15.5	-2.27

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	37	37	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-8	11	11.9	15.1	-3.23	15.4	18.0	-2.64
Grant Hill	58	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-7	9	14.4	13.0	1.38	17.5	16.1	1.41
Troy Hudson	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	4.3	14.5	-10.17	2.2	17.8	-15.61
Steven Hunter	32	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	0	-5	14.4	13.6	0.84	18.2	16.3	1.91
Jud Buechler	20	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-3	1	13.9	13.8	0.06	17.2	16.9	0.35
Mike Miller	69	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-8	11	14.0	13.6	0.40	17.1	16.6	0.46
Patrick Ewing	34	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	4	-13	14.3	13.6	0.74	17.4	16.8	0.63
Horace Grant	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	0	-5	14.8	12.3	2.46	18.2	14.9	3.34
Don Reid	5	6	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-6	7	10.4	14.0	-3.64	16.2	17.0	-0.86
Darrell Armstrong	67	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	-3	1	13.9	13.7	0.21	16.6	17.9	-1.32
Tracy McGrady	84	83	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.30	-10	5	-15	14.0	12.3	1.74	16.9	17.7	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.28,0	91.5%
LAC 106, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	91.0%
LAL 112, SEA 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.26,0	90.5%