NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	8.2 [244]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +34.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	109		Comeback	6.2 [280]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -34.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.34	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.34	0.21	0.16	0.02	27	59%	0.36	1	-0.01	24	79%	0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	6	83%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	10	52%	0.12	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.03	0.04	11	77%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Shammond Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.07	0.02	16	67%	0.25	2	-0.05	16	62%	-0.05
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.03	0.05	14	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	80%	0.33	6	-0.28	2	100%	0.05
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	10	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.33,-0.34	-0.34	-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	14	32%	-0.15	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	1.6	28.1	14.7	29.2	0.7	36.6	141.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.4%

SEA -0.4%

SEA -28.7%

LAL +49.6%

LAL +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.4	116.7	113.5	104.5
season	15.3	15.4		106.3	105.5
opponent	15.4	14.9		108.3	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.5	16.8	13.8	15.4	14.5
SEA	13.2	15.3	16.2	18.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	48	47	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.38	15	-12	27	15.3	13.6	1.62	16.9	14.2	2.73
Jordan Farmar	27	25	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-6	15	14.0	14.6	-0.59	18.5	14.5	3.97
Lamar Odom	88	88	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-4	11	14.3	16.6	-2.36	15.4	16.9	-1.45
Kobe Bryant	85	85	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	4	-5	13.8	19.7	-5.95	15.0	19.5	-4.52
Luke Walton	70	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	4	-5	13.6	16.7	-3.12	14.3	18.7	-4.35
Maurice Evans	30	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	-1	5	16.5	13.5	3.02	18.4	14.2	4.15
Brian Cook	40	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	6	-9	16.4	13.1	3.29	16.4	14.9	1.44
Shammond Williams	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	6	-9	16.2	14.1	2.06	16.3	15.4	0.94
Andrew Bynum	26	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	11	-19	13.2	14.9	-1.79	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Smush Parker	51	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	7	-11	14.0	15.0	-1.02	13.8	17.6	-3.87

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	11	9	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-9	15	13.1	15.9	-2.77	14.9	14.4	0.48
Mike Wilks	4	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-1	-1	11.0	15.7	-4.74	12.0	14.5	-2.54
Luke Ridnour	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	13.3	16.4	-3.01	12.7	15.1	-2.37
Mickael Gelabale	43	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-1	-1	17.1	14.3	2.85	15.1	13.9	1.17
Nick Collison	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-6	9	15.1	16.4	-1.34	14.5	14.4	0.14
Johan Petro	27	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	7	-17	17.4	14.8	2.60	14.4	14.5	-0.04
Chris Wilcox	75	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-3	3	15.8	14.7	1.06	15.1	12.1	2.92
Rashard Lewis	84	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	1	-5	15.2	18.1	-2.90	13.8	18.7	-4.90
Damien Wilkins	77	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	0	-3	14.9	18.3	-3.39	14.3	15.3	-1.02
Earl Watson	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-3	3	16.7	12.5	4.12	15.0	12.9	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.02,0	92.7%
LAL 100, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.19,0.45,0.08,0	92.2%
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	92.1%