NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	8.7 [148]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +16.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	4.5 [173]		LVP	Eddie House (BOS): -23.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.37,0.17	0.25	-0.07	0.02	16	97%	0.42	3	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	14	62%	0.20	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	13	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leon Powe	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	71%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	3	-0.11	4	25%	-0.14
Rajon Rondo	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.02	12	39%	-0.07	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06
Eddie House	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	0.00	7	6%	-0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	79%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.00	10	54%	-0.01	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.16	0.01	16	51%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.09
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.16,0.16,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.16	-0.01	18	57%	-0.04	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.8	33.3	19.6	29.2	2.8	39.0	152.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +90.5%

PHI -16.1%

BOS +11.2%

PHI -27.2%

PHI -8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	16.6	15.5	112.4	110.1	106.4
season	15.8	15.5		108.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.6		105.5	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	17.2	15.6	14.6	15.7
PHI	17.2	12.8	20.4	16.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	72	71	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-5	12	15.6	16.3	-0.68	17.1	14.7	2.45
Stephon Marbury	44	43	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.54	1	1	0	14.6	16.9	-2.32	15.7	17.4	-1.69
Glen Davis	65	64	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.59	-3	5	-8	15.2	17.3	-2.12	16.2	17.6	-1.37
Paul Pierce	55	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	-1	4	16.1	15.1	1.06	17.0	16.0	0.96
Kendrick Perkins	60	58	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.37	-4	6	-10	15.5	16.2	-0.64	17.1	15.8	1.25
Mikki Moore	25	24	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	-2	6	16.4	15.5	0.86	17.3	16.4	0.98
Leon Powe	28	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.16	4	-2	6	17.0	15.2	1.78	18.3	15.9	2.43
Rajon Rondo	47	51	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	1	0	16.7	14.7	1.95	16.4	16.9	-0.48
Eddie House	49	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	5	-8	15.7	15.8	-0.20	15.2	18.4	-3.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	16	16	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-7	12	12.9	17.4	-4.56	18.2	15.2	3.06
Theo Ratliff	19	21	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-3	4	16.2	16.7	-0.58	16.4	15.5	0.84
Samuel Dalembert	63	61	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-4	6	16.5	16.9	-0.38	15.8	15.6	0.14
Willie Green	46	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.20	-8	6	-14	17.3	15.9	1.42	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Reggie Evans	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	4	-10	19.4	15.6	3.83	14.9	16.1	-1.19
Marreese Speights	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.51	10	-12	22	14.0	17.9	-3.83	16.7	15.3	1.36
Thaddeus Young	53	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-3	4	16.1	17.3	-1.20	16.0	15.3	0.68
Andre Iguodala	81	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	1	-4	16.9	14.1	2.74	15.3	19.9	-4.61
Lou Williams	46	47	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.67	2	-4	6	16.4	16.9	-0.51	16.0	15.4	0.59
Andre Miller	68	68	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.50	-14	12	-26	17.6	13.3	4.30	15.0	18.0	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.1,0	92.0%
BOS 101, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.46,0.31,0.42,0	91.9%
DET 105, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.58,0	91.5%