NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	9.1 [109]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +55.2%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	6.5 [36]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -46.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.55	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.19,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.55	0.22	0.34	0.01	15	85%	0.57	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.05
Paul Pierce	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	12	67%	0.22	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.08
Vitaly Potapenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.11	-0.00	5	40%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.46	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.4,-0.46	-0.23	-0.25	-0.02	19	40%	-0.24	7	-0.22	9	78%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.02	7	57%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	15	59%	0.15	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.06	-0.03	12	40%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.13,-0.2	-0.20	0.00	-0.21	-0.00	19	58%	0.03	2	-0.23	17	94%	0.14
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.14	0.03	7	58%	-0.09	3	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.8	1.7	27.2	14.7	30.5	1.8	41.2	149.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.1%

UTA -1.1%

UTA -7.6%

BOS +15.3%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	13.3	16.4	15.2	104.1	102.1	101.7
season	14.7	16.3		102.4	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		100.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.5	15.3	14.3	12.4	13.3
UTA	16.2	16.0	17.0	16.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	51	53	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.41	17	-15	32	12.2	14.6	-2.39	16.4	16.4	0.03
Antoine Walker	84	85	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-13	28	12.6	17.7	-5.06	17.0	12.1	4.90
Vitaly Potapenko	44	46	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.46	10	-8	18	12.0	14.4	-2.44	16.9	15.9	0.97
Paul Pierce	68	71	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.41	11	-9	20	12.1	16.0	-3.89	16.4	16.2	0.21
Adrian Griffin	85	83	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.40	1	1	0	13.5	11.9	1.59	15.7	20.6	-4.98
Danny Fortson	24	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	6	-10	15.6	12.6	3.02	17.3	16.1	1.21
Tony Battie	35	34	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	12	-22	14.7	12.5	2.15	15.0	17.1	-2.08
Walter McCarty	13	13	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	0.07	-16	18	-34	14.8	13.1	1.69	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Dana Barros	46	44	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.03	-15	17	-32	14.6	12.2	2.39	16.4	16.4	-0.03

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	40	40	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.27	12	-14	26	16.4	16.4	0.07	14.5	12.5	1.98
Quincy Lewis	16	17	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-3	4	17.2	16.2	1.04	15.2	12.9	2.26
Jacque Vaughn	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-2	2	2.0	16.5	-14.53	0.0	13.3	-13.31
Adam Keefe	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	17.5	16.1	1.39	14.2	13.1	1.13
Jeff Hornacek	49	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	9	-20	16.5	16.2	0.30	12.9	13.8	-0.91
Olden Polynice	33	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	10	-22	16.9	16.1	0.85	12.4	13.8	-1.38
Howard Eisley	69	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.55	6	-8	14	16.5	16.0	0.54	13.7	12.3	1.35
Karl Malone	81	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.43	1	-3	4	16.1	17.7	-1.56	13.1	14.5	-1.43
John Stockton	61	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.46	1	-3	4	15.9	17.2	-1.25	12.7	14.2	-1.48
Armen Gilliam	39	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	3	-8	16.8	16.1	0.65	13.4	13.3	0.13
Bryon Russell	74	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.53	1	-3	4	16.0	17.6	-1.55	13.0	14.2	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.46,0.31,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.28,0	91.9%
WAS 102, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.1,0	91.2%
HOU 93, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.15,0	89.9%