NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	8.3 [226]		MVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): +28.1%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	14.6 [115]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -36.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.01	-0.00	9	72%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.02	0.07	0.01	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	12	57%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.37	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.16,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.37	-0.10	-0.25	0.02	25	51%	0.01	8	-0.37	9	89%	0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.08	0.00	9	88%	0.33	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.06
Trey Lyles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tibor Pleiss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	2	83%	0.06	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	8	36%	-0.16	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.05	-0.17	0.00	18	51%	0.01	5	-0.22	3	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	27.5	15.5	28.2	2.5	40.4	142.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.2%

UTA -12.3%

HOU +12.8%

HOU +1.1%

HOU +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	17.6	14.9	106.9	103.4	105.1
season	14.0	16.3		105.9	104.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.8	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.9	15.7	14.7	16.8	15.3
UTA	18.8	16.3	19.6	16.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	55	54	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.52	10	-8	18	15.2	15.3	-0.08	18.2	16.8	1.42
Montrezl Harrell	27	27	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-6	14	16.4	14.8	1.60	20.2	16.5	3.73
James Harden	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	0	2	15.6	12.5	3.12	17.3	20.0	-2.70
Corey Brewer	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	-6	14	13.8	16.3	-2.53	17.1	18.1	-1.03
Clint Capela	39	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-9	20	14.3	16.0	-1.69	17.7	17.6	0.05
Dwight Howard	75	74	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.48	-8	10	-18	15.9	11.0	4.95	17.1	20.6	-3.49
Trevor Ariza	56	57	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.45	-13	15	-28	15.8	14.3	1.51	17.1	18.7	-1.61
Terrence Jones	27	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	6	-10	14.5	15.6	-1.14	20.1	16.6	3.52
Patrick Beverley	42	48	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	6	-10	14.6	15.8	-1.20	16.7	18.7	-2.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Lyles	38	37	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-6	10	18.8	16.7	2.12	16.2	14.6	1.66
Chris Johnson	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	16.5	18.0	-1.52	14.1	15.6	-1.54
Tibor Pleiss	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-1	0	21.8	16.3	5.42	13.3	15.9	-2.55
Joe Ingles	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	4	-10	17.9	17.5	0.41	13.5	16.0	-2.46
Raul Neto	34	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	4	-10	19.6	16.4	3.18	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Trey Burke	53	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-7	12	16.7	19.0	-2.31	15.5	14.8	0.72
Rodney Hood	65	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-2	2	18.0	16.5	1.57	15.4	14.8	0.65
Jeff Withey	65	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-3	4	16.6	20.4	-3.79	16.1	12.7	3.40
Gordon Hayward	67	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	16.9	20.0	-3.10	15.7	13.8	1.92
Trevor Booker	50	50	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	4	-10	16.7	18.8	-2.12	14.6	16.2	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 77, ATL 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.67,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	91.5%
BOS 100, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.28,0	91.1%
BOS 89, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.79,0.45,0.27,0	90.7%