NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	77		Excitement	8.4 [214]		MVP	Darius Miles (POR): +13.1%
Atlanta Hawks	75		Comeback	8.9 [80]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -29.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.13	-0.07	0.20	-0.01	11	43%	0.21	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	15	75%	0.18	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.13
Theo Ratliff	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergei Monia	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.00	8	62%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	9	36%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	52%	0.10	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.05
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	14%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	15	44%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	14	47%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.29	-0.29	-0.04	-0.26	-0.00	11	50%	-0.04	3	-0.26	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	27.8	16.7	23.6	2.4	36.4	135.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.1%

ATL -9.3%

POR +4.5%

POR +17.4%

ATL -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	19.2	15.4	15.6	93.9	88.2	104.4
season	16.6	15.6		99.4	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.0	18.8	20.1	18.9	19.2
ATL	14.6	14.1	15.2	18.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	51	49	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.46	18	-16	34	17.8	21.4	-3.51	16.2	14.2	2.02
Martell Webster	29	30	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.35	15	-13	28	18.9	19.3	-0.48	17.5	14.3	3.21
Zach Randolph	77	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-4	10	18.9	23.6	-4.72	15.5	13.8	1.69
Charles Smith	13	14	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-8	18	15.9	19.8	-3.86	13.9	15.7	-1.75
Travis Outlaw	36	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	19.6	18.9	0.69	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Darius Miles	55	59	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	5	-8	19.1	19.4	-0.30	15.5	15.1	0.45
Theo Ratliff	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.13	9	-7	16	18.5	19.5	-1.03	14.5	15.8	-1.34
Sergei Monia	41	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.20	-12	14	-26	21.2	17.1	4.10	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Joel Przybilla	39	42	-0.32	0.81	-1.13	0.30	-21	23	-44	19.1	19.3	-0.18	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Sebastian Telfair	42	46	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	0.03	-19	21	-40	20.9	17.4	3.46	14.5	16.4	-1.84

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	36	37	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.16	11	-13	24	15.9	15.0	0.92	21.3	17.4	3.83
Josh Smith	50	46	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.32	12	-14	26	15.2	15.7	-0.55	21.2	16.6	4.66
John Edwards	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-2	2	14.4	15.5	-1.12	16.0	19.6	-3.61
Zaza Pachulia	64	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.40	12	-14	26	14.9	16.9	-1.95	19.7	17.4	2.28
Marvin Williams	28	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	6	-14	16.3	14.9	1.39	18.4	19.5	-1.15
Salim Stoudamire	34	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	13	-28	15.7	15.2	0.48	17.0	20.7	-3.76
Al Harrington	77	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	2	-6	15.4	15.0	0.43	19.1	19.7	-0.59
Joe Johnson	82	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	3	-8	15.7	7.7	8.00	19.0	22.0	-2.97
Josh Childress	44	42	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.34	-13	11	-24	14.7	16.1	-1.37	17.6	20.8	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.67,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 93, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.15,0	91.5%
SAC 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.15,0	90.2%
ORL 110, DET 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.22,0.26,0	89.7%