inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 100 Excitement4.0 [1031] MVPKenny Thomas (SAC): +12.7%
Denver Nuggets 82 Comeback1.3 [484] LVPMarcus Camby (DEN): -13.6%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenny Thomas0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.020.011182%0.131-0.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.02-0.021957%0.132-0.042100%0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.02970%0.081-0.022100%0.00
Brad Miller0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.02644%0.0110.00475%-0.01
Kevin Martin0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.13-0.000.12880%0.0100.004100%0.00
Corliss Williamson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Hart-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.02743%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Metta World Peace-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.01-0.051327%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bonzi Wells-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.011039%-0.013-0.06333%-0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ruben Patterson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01-0.021656%0.073-0.04450%-0.03
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.01848%0.041-0.02580%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.04-0.00-0.05625%0.0100.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0310%-0.0100.0020%-0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02450%-0.012-0.00475%-0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.000.03750%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.04520%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.030.021348%-0.012-0.065100%0.01
Marcus Camby0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.030.051338%-0.121-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.626.216.422.42.426.2118.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +41.0%
DEN -5.4%
SAC +8.4%
SAC +6.2%
DEN -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game17.414.715.6111.192.1104.4
season15.314.4104.7103.5
opponent15.915.5103.5103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.818.015.721.117.4
DEN13.615.413.716.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bonzi Wells62610.54-0.040.59-0.0721-32415.920.9-4.9914.615.0-0.38
Mike Bibby57570.52-0.020.53-0.1021-32416.219.5-3.2114.515.2-0.65
Brad Miller50500.450.050.40-0.1119-12015.819.4-3.5614.614.9-0.28
Metta World Peace70680.360.140.22-0.051441017.816.11.6414.914.30.53
Kenny Thomas74720.340.160.17-0.04135817.716.21.4314.515.8-1.26
Shareef Abdur-Rahim48480.210.29-0.08-0.201441018.116.61.5115.713.62.05
Kevin Martin40410.090.41-0.31-0.23117418.516.51.9815.214.30.93
Corliss Williamson440.000.50-0.500.15-523-2820.717.33.4812.014.9-2.87
Vitaly Potapenko440.000.50-0.500.15-523-2820.717.33.4812.014.9-2.87
Francisco Garcia440.000.50-0.500.15-523-2820.717.33.4812.014.9-2.87
Ronnie Price440.000.50-0.500.15-523-2820.717.33.4812.014.9-2.87
Jason Hart3332-0.020.52-0.530.07-321-2419.516.23.2115.214.50.65

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Linas Kleiza1616-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-222614.614.8-0.1420.916.74.28
Reggie Evans2424-0.02-0.480.460.13-5-13814.614.8-0.2216.617.7-1.14
DerMarr Johnson2324-0.06-0.440.38-0.236-243016.614.12.4619.616.62.95
Howard Eisley4242-0.12-0.380.270.06-6-12614.714.8-0.1418.516.52.07
Kenyon Martin3433-0.17-0.330.170.19-12-6-614.614.8-0.1516.917.7-0.81
Greg Buckner4848-0.21-0.290.090.09-10-8-215.014.50.4717.417.5-0.06
Francisco Elson3335-0.24-0.260.03-0.12-4-141013.615.4-1.8016.318.1-1.81
Ruben Patterson5758-0.36-0.14-0.210.14-17-1-1615.313.81.5018.016.31.72
Andre Miller4748-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.03-12-6-614.814.70.1416.518.5-2.07
Carmelo Anthony5758-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-14-4-1014.016.0-2.0116.718.8-2.11
Marcus Camby6464-0.510.01-0.530.07-202-2214.814.60.2517.118.3-1.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 94, MIA 710.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
MIA 92, TOR 700.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
TOR 94, NYK 740.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%