inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 92 Excitement3.9 [628] MVPDan Majerle (MIA): +8.1%
Toronto Raptors 70 Comeback1.1 [559] LVPDoug Christie (TOR): -15.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Majerle0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.01869%0.101-0.0200%0.00
P.J. Brown0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.011162%0.052-0.04450%-0.03
Rex Walters0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042120%0.001-0.001100%0.00
Blue Edwards0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00475%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04440%0.0010.002100%0.00
Keith Askins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Duane Causwell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.02-0.011461%0.043-0.05580%-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02550%0.001-0.02667%-0.01
Terry Porter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.051729%-0.0600.0010%-0.02
Tim Hardaway-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.001030%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.01267%0.0300.002100%0.01
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03850%0.011-0.02850%-0.01
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.01-0.031237%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00150%-0.011-0.012100%0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.01125%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00944%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Slater0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.02-0.05417%-0.041-0.03450%-0.00
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.14-0.02-0.041632%-0.1110.00667%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.17-0.02-0.051231%-0.112-0.02850%-0.02
Doug Christie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.001329%-0.121-0.0320%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.627.316.325.91.729.5126.2
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +38.8%
MIA +6.2%
TOR -1.8%
MIA +4.7%
MIA +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game17.116.615.8108.281.499.6
season16.615.6101.399.0
opponent15.916.7101.296.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.218.019.816.217.1
TOR17.517.119.213.116.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Majerle42440.58-0.080.67-0.1826-43017.017.2-0.1619.513.46.12
Alonzo Mourning59600.53-0.030.57-0.2326-43018.015.22.7917.813.74.11
Jamal Mashburn67670.53-0.030.56-0.1724-22618.312.75.5917.214.23.08
P.J. Brown54560.470.030.44-0.061841417.416.60.7617.315.22.03
Tim Hardaway53530.390.110.27-0.05157818.015.72.3617.215.61.59
Terry Porter37370.020.48-0.46-0.07319-1618.116.41.6915.917.1-1.22
Rex Walters22220.010.49-0.49-0.05220-1815.917.6-1.6513.017.8-4.84
Blue Edwards16160.000.50-0.500.06-224-2613.917.9-4.0112.917.4-4.53
Duane Causwell15150.000.50-0.500.00022-2212.918.0-5.1012.517.4-4.96
Mark Strickland15140.000.50-0.50-0.03121-2012.918.0-5.1012.317.4-5.10
Clar. Weatherspoon2727-0.010.51-0.510.02-123-2419.416.13.2816.816.40.37
Keith Askins1819-0.030.53-0.560.03-224-2612.718.3-5.5914.217.2-3.08

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Thomas24250.07-0.570.640.070-222215.716.9-1.2419.616.13.56
Sean Marks1213-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-181412.017.3-5.3012.617.9-5.33
Michael Stewart2525-0.03-0.470.450.03-2-201816.716.50.2319.516.13.39
Reggie Slater2827-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-212014.917.4-2.4715.517.9-2.42
Tracy McGrady4647-0.12-0.380.250.08-7-15815.617.6-1.9917.616.60.95
John Wallace3534-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-181416.716.50.2215.418.3-2.96
Dee Brown4848-0.21-0.290.090.09-10-12217.016.01.0018.815.03.82
Alvin Williams3836-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-12215.917.1-1.2414.918.8-3.89
Vince Carter5151-0.32-0.18-0.140.21-18-4-1416.516.7-0.2218.315.42.96
Doug Christie4039-0.44-0.06-0.380.06-17-5-1217.715.52.2316.617.5-0.90
Charles Oakley3736-0.47-0.03-0.440.12-20-2-1818.715.03.7216.517.6-1.04
Kevin Willis4644-0.49-0.01-0.480.01-17-5-1217.415.51.8817.217.10.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 88, LAC 740.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
HOU 117, GSW 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.03,0,096.0%
LAL 94, MEM 790.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%