NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	117		Excitement	5.2 [765]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +13.0%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	1.1 [443]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): -17.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	17	63%	0.15	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
James Posey	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	84%	0.14	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Yao Ming	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	14	68%	0.10	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Juaquin Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	13	42%	-0.06	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.17	-0.01	0.15	9	96%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	56%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	23	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	21	47%	-0.03	6	-0.14	11	82%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	27.5	17.6	25.2	2.6	40.3	136.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +46.8%

HOU +5.3%

HOU +6.1%

GSW -8.1%

GSW -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	13.2	15.5	113.6	103.9	101.6
season	16.3	14.6		101.7	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.8	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	15.3	14.6	15.6	14.7
GSW	13.2	13.5	15.4	11.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	85	86	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-3	16	15.0	13.6	1.37	13.6	11.5	2.10
Yao Ming	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-5	20	14.1	16.2	-2.10	13.5	12.5	1.00
Cuttino Mobley	91	90	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-2	14	14.4	17.2	-2.75	12.9	15.5	-2.65
James Posey	74	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-3	16	14.4	15.7	-1.32	13.6	12.2	1.34
Eddie Griffin	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-4	18	14.1	15.5	-1.40	14.6	11.8	2.80
Juaquin Hawkins	7	7	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	10	-10	16.7	14.6	2.12	16.1	13.0	3.13
Glen Rice	47	47	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	15.4	14.2	1.19	11.4	14.7	-3.31
Moochie Norris	44	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	15	-20	15.4	14.3	1.09	12.4	13.8	-1.38
Maurice Taylor	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	11	-12	14.8	14.7	0.07	13.2	13.2	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	32	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.10	-5	15	-20	16.2	14.1	2.10	12.5	13.5	-1.00

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	52	52	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-18	26	12.2	14.2	-2.00	15.5	14.0	1.46
Earl Boykins	43	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.28	7	-17	24	12.6	13.6	-1.02	15.8	14.0	1.81
Mike Dunleavy	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-5	0	12.8	13.7	-0.90	13.3	16.1	-2.77
Bob Sura	61	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.37	7	-17	24	13.0	13.5	-0.55	15.4	13.7	1.67
Troy Murphy	29	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	0	-10	13.8	13.0	0.75	15.3	14.5	0.80
Jason Richardson	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	4	-18	14.6	11.8	2.82	14.6	14.9	-0.26
Gilbert Arenas	85	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	1	-12	12.5	16.4	-3.90	14.5	15.9	-1.44
Erick Dampier	51	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	8	-26	14.2	12.2	2.00	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Antawn Jamison	93	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	4	-18	13.6	10.0	3.57	14.7	15.2	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, TOR 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAS 88, LAC 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
HOU 89, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0	94.9%