NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	9.2 [124]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +48.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	116		Comeback	7.6 [268]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -33.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.12	0.14	0.01	15	77%	0.32	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.18	0.09	0.02	12	79%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Steve Nash	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	14	47%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.03,-0.21,-0.34	0.03	-0.35	0.02	13	65%	-0.06	4	-0.27	8	75%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.48	0.48	0.08	0.39	-0.02	21	65%	0.68	6	-0.20	4	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	11	77%	0.20	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.04
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	-0.00	0.02	13	78%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	11	45%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.0	25.8	15.8	25.0	1.7	29.1	125.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +50.0%

SEA +0.4%

PHX -7.0%

SEA +4.9%

SEA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	15.6	112.9	113.7	104.4
season	13.8	15.0		110.2	108.9
opponent	15.8	16.1		112.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.3	14.8	12.8	15.1	14.0
SEA	12.9	14.0	14.8	16.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	39	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	1	-4	13.9	14.0	-0.12	14.1	14.6	-0.43
Tim Thomas	46	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	1	-4	13.8	14.1	-0.26	14.4	14.4	0.02
Eddie House	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	7	-16	14.3	13.8	0.46	12.9	15.1	-2.18
Leandro Barbosa	55	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	1	-4	14.3	13.6	0.62	15.0	13.6	1.41
James Jones	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-3	4	13.7	14.1	-0.37	13.7	14.8	-1.14
Raja Bell	80	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-7	12	13.7	15.1	-1.42	14.6	13.5	1.12
Steve Nash	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.49	3	-5	8	13.8	14.2	-0.39	14.7	13.9	0.80
Boris Diaw	84	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-1	0	14.2	13.0	1.17	14.5	13.9	0.55
Shawn Marion	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-2	2	14.1	13.7	0.40	14.5	14.3	0.21

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	51	52	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.41	15	-13	28	14.3	14.5	-0.29	14.6	13.3	1.25
Ray Allen	84	84	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.46	3	-1	4	14.3	15.1	-0.79	14.2	12.7	1.52
Rashard Lewis	70	69	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	1	0	14.2	14.7	-0.51	13.8	14.3	-0.55
Johan Petro	40	38	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	-4	10	15.2	13.9	1.40	14.2	13.8	0.43
Chris Wilcox	82	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	14.6	13.5	1.06	13.6	15.3	-1.72
Damien Wilkins	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	1	0	14.7	14.2	0.51	14.3	13.8	0.55
Nick Collison	17	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	12.3	14.8	-2.53	13.8	14.0	-0.23
Mikki Moore	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	1	0	13.9	14.5	-0.56	14.2	13.9	0.31
Robert Swift	46	47	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	6	-10	14.3	14.5	-0.26	14.3	13.7	0.65
Luke Ridnour	69	66	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.03	-14	16	-30	14.7	13.8	0.86	13.2	15.5	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.22,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.23,0.26,1	92.2%
MIL 82, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.32,0.42,1	92.1%
SAS 95, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.43,1	91.8%