inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 95 Excitement8.4 [182] MVPDanny Ferry (SAS): +10.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 96 Comeback10.7 [185] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -50.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Ferry0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.050.00387%0.1000.002100%0.02
Tony Parker0.060,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.010.011367%0.091-0.034100%0.03
Malik Rose0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.060.00757%0.122-0.0800%0.00
Steven Smith0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.060.001144%0.051-0.03333%-0.03
Cherokee Parks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mark Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Robinson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.010.00558%0.033-0.07250%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.00450%-0.041-0.034100%0.03
Bruce Bowen-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.01940%-0.002-0.102100%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.500,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.5-0.11-0.47-0.092843%-0.434-0.074100%0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.080.080.12-0.06-0.021472%0.251-0.174100%0.06
Derek Fisher0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.080.08-0.030.100.00945%0.111-0.032100%0.11
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00542%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Rick Fox0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01450%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0000%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.060.001951%0.023-0.13989%0.06
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26-0.26-0.07-0.21-0.012454%-0.076-0.199100%0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.732.019.728.33.441.2151.1
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +6.4%
LAL +47.9%
LAL +11.9%
SAS -17.9%
LAL +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game16.115.215.6103.3104.3102.3
season15.815.3104.3106.9
opponent15.415.799.898.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.414.416.618.416.1
LAL14.614.415.416.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson59600.12-0.620.75-0.025-61115.716.8-1.1015.215.4-0.19
Mark Bryant100.01-0.520.53-0.042-350.016.2-16.230.015.2-15.25
Cherokee Parks66-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-1114.216.2-2.0218.015.12.94
Tony Parker6665-0.07-0.430.350.04-43-715.717.0-1.2614.217.7-3.53
Malik Rose3232-0.24-0.260.02-0.03-76-1317.615.22.4115.715.00.72
Bruce Bowen8686-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.524-5916.016.8-0.8315.79.56.15
Steven Smith5757-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.596-71315.217.4-2.2214.416.7-2.27
Danny Ferry3636-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.25-76-1317.315.32.0116.314.61.69
Tim Duncan8585-0.510.01-0.53-0.45-21-316.115.40.6815.117.4-2.36
Antonio Daniels3233-0.520.02-0.54-0.46-21-316.915.61.3516.214.71.55

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Horry67680.80-0.301.090.4711-102114.517.3-2.7916.714.22.44
Derek Fisher65650.58-0.080.660.61-12-314.117.9-3.7915.916.3-0.39
Shaquille O'Neal82810.51-0.010.510.4810114.918.1-3.2016.115.70.37
Rick Fox66660.51-0.010.510.59-34-714.218.0-3.8315.617.2-1.64
Kobe Bryant90900.470.030.450.4701-115.311.04.3415.921.0-5.06
Brian Shaw22220.010.49-0.49-0.145-4917.414.62.7817.315.71.60
Devean George2727-0.020.52-0.53-0.134-3718.114.14.0016.615.80.76
Lindsey Hunter77-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-23-517.715.02.6714.716.2-1.45
Samaki Walker3434-0.290.79-1.09-0.00-1011-2117.414.03.4815.116.6-1.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.43,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 92, GSW 940.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.46,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.42,192.5%
MIL 82, ORL 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.32,0.42,192.1%
PHX 114, SEA 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.22,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.28,191.8%