NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	9.1 [102]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (GSW): +29.7%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	7.8 [184]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (GSW): -32.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	78%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jerome James	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	6	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.06	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.06	4	-0.12	8	50%	0.02
Calvin Booth	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.02	9	57%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	33%	-0.02	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.07
Ansu Sesay	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.03,0.3	0.30	-0.06	0.36	-0.00	12	47%	0.34	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.05
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	9	67%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.16	-0.01	20	50%	-0.14	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.04
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.19,-0.3,-0.32	-0.32	-0.16	-0.16	0.00	10	31%	-0.25	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.6	29.0	15.5	26.5	2.3	44.1	146.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -17.5%

SEA -6.2%

GSW +33.9%

GSW +27.1%

GSW +12.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	17.4	15.7	105.7	106.8	100.5
season	15.6	16.1		105.0	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	14.9	18.5	14.3	15.5
GSW	19.1	20.4	13.6	17.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	46	48	0.49	-0.99	1.49	0.11	13	-15	28	14.6	16.4	-1.81	18.9	15.6	3.29
Rashard Lewis	44	45	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.08	6	-8	14	17.2	13.7	3.53	20.4	14.3	6.10
Vitaly Potapenko	28	28	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-4	6	17.9	14.3	3.61	16.7	17.7	-0.98
Luke Ridnour	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-4	6	15.8	15.3	0.45	20.4	15.8	4.63
Reggie Evans	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-2	2	14.1	15.7	-1.59	18.2	17.3	0.87
Jerome James	37	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	14.9	15.9	-0.93	17.7	17.2	0.56
Richie Frahm	6	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-3	4	16.7	15.4	1.27	14.1	17.7	-3.63
Antonio Daniels	48	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	0	-2	15.9	14.9	1.01	15.6	19.6	-4.00
Calvin Booth	47	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	15.6	15.4	0.20	16.9	18.1	-1.20
Ansu Sesay	8	7	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	3	-8	9.2	16.1	-6.86	13.9	17.7	-3.87
Ronald Murray	67	68	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.47	-9	7	-16	14.9	17.5	-2.62	16.8	19.4	-2.63
Vladimir Radmanovic	62	60	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.49	-14	12	-26	15.1	16.4	-1.29	15.8	20.8	-4.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	63	62	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.47	9	-7	16	15.9	21.2	-5.22	15.8	14.8	0.96
Calbert Cheaney	65	63	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-9	20	16.8	19.0	-2.20	15.2	16.3	-1.12
Brian Cardinal	76	74	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.41	10	-8	18	16.4	23.7	-7.23	15.8	13.8	1.92
Clifford Robinson	66	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.55	-1	3	-4	17.6	16.8	0.80	15.6	15.1	0.43
Jason Richardson	74	73	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	8	-14	18.4	12.1	6.36	15.5	15.4	0.06
Mickael Pietrus	1	2	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	2	-2	17.0	17.4	-0.43	7.0	15.7	-8.68
Speedy Claxton	14	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	5	-8	20.5	16.8	3.66	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Adonal Foyle	17	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	-1	4	19.1	17.0	2.10	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Avery Johnson	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	6	-10	21.6	16.8	4.82	13.7	15.8	-2.11
Erick Dampier	52	51	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.06	-9	11	-20	17.3	17.5	-0.18	16.0	14.7	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.46,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.43,1	92.5%
SAC 108, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1	90.5%
MIL 91, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.28,1	90.4%