NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	6.7 [485]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +18.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.7 [444]		LVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): -12.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.18	0.10	0.11	0.03	23	58%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Devin Brown	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	60%	0.15	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	12	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	59%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Jarron Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	16	41%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	11	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	64%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.00	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	19%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.0	16.7	22.3	2.5	32.2	127.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +51.0%

MIN -21.6%

UTA +11.4%

UTA +5.1%

UTA +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	17.4	14.1	15.6	112.0	104.4	104.4
season	17.0	16.1		101.7	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.0		103.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.0	15.8	18.3	17.5	17.4
MIN	13.9	14.2	12.5	16.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	38	37	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-7	22	18.1	16.9	1.22	14.8	13.6	1.26
Deron Williams	74	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-1	10	17.1	18.8	-1.72	14.0	14.3	-0.25
Devin Brown	56	55	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	18.2	16.2	1.97	14.5	13.4	1.12
Carlos Boozer	75	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	4	0	16.9	19.4	-2.41	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Matt Harpring	62	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	6	-4	17.0	18.3	-1.35	14.3	13.6	0.71
Andrei Kirilenko	65	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	5	-2	17.4	17.3	0.08	13.4	15.5	-2.02
Milt Palacio	1	1	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	0.0	17.6	-17.58	15.0	14.1	0.94
Mehmet Okur	70	71	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	11	-14	17.7	16.3	1.41	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Kris Humphries	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	8	-8	0.0	17.6	-17.58	0.0	14.1	-14.07
Keith McLeod	18	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	9	-10	18.8	17.1	1.72	14.3	14.0	0.25

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	57	57	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-11	14	13.6	14.8	-1.16	17.4	17.3	0.08
Kevin Garnett	46	46	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-10	12	13.2	15.0	-1.85	18.2	16.6	1.52
Mark Blount	42	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-6	4	13.1	14.9	-1.80	18.2	16.7	1.56
Mark Madsen	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-8	8	14.8	14.0	0.82	18.9	17.2	1.69
Ronald Dupree	11	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-4	0	14.3	14.0	0.24	12.1	18.1	-6.02
Ricky Davis	51	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-8	8	13.5	14.7	-1.22	18.0	16.6	1.37
Rashad McCants	55	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-3	-2	14.3	13.8	0.48	18.6	15.5	3.12
Justin Reed	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	14.1	14.1	-0.01	17.3	17.4	-0.15
Eddie Griffin	49	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	14.9	13.1	1.80	16.7	18.2	-1.56
Trenton Hassell	47	48	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	3	-14	15.1	13.0	2.11	16.3	18.5	-2.21
Marko Jaric	53	54	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	2	-12	14.6	13.4	1.20	16.7	18.4	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.02,0,0,0	94.1%
CHI 91, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.5%
UTA 95, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.4%