inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 91 Excitement6.4 [509] MVPRon Mercer (CHI): +26.0%
Atlanta Hawks 82 Comeback1.2 [320] LVPMatt Maloney (ATL): -20.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ron Mercer0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.260.130.150.021873%0.333-0.07580%0.03
Dalibor Bagaric0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Dragan Tarlac-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
A.J. Guyton-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Khalid El-Amin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.030.02862%-0.011-0.0310100%0.02
Jamal Crawford-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00250%0.032-0.0800%0.00
Marcus Fizer-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.01-0.00536%-0.031-0.02475%-0.00
Corey Benjamin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.00650%-0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Elton Brand-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.050.011758%0.036-0.15450%-0.03
Metta World Peace-0.180,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.14-0.06-0.031024%-0.133-0.051100%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.00350%-0.0200.002100%0.01
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hanno Mottola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00175%0.011-0.04250%-0.02
Larry Robinson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.040.04968%0.052-0.091100%0.01
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.001250%-0.011-0.03683%0.01
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.110.02-0.03631%-0.022-0.03425%-0.04
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.040.01962%0.053-0.12683%0.01
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.03-0.05520%-0.002-0.0700%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.07-0.002145%-0.094-0.09786%0.01
Matt Maloney0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.080.01521%-0.132-0.08425%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.429.615.527.52.328.5132.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +26.6%
CHI +9.2%
CHI +7.5%
CHI +11.1%
ATL -4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIATLNBACHIATLNBA
this game15.916.115.5101.191.1100.9
season16.415.495.296.0
opponent15.115.1101.6104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.917.614.614.715.9
ATL15.216.716.116.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ron Mercer86850.56-0.060.620.1813-41716.013.52.4916.018.8-2.84
Elton Brand72710.470.030.430.1411-21316.015.30.6815.020.4-5.45
Metta World Peace60600.370.130.240.2354117.013.63.4715.517.4-1.87
Dragan Tarlac59590.290.210.080.2036-316.414.91.5415.716.9-1.14
Khalid El-Amin48480.260.240.020.1254114.917.0-2.1915.616.7-1.02
Jamal Crawford29290.180.32-0.130.1327-515.915.90.0817.715.42.26
Marcus Fizer33330.110.39-0.290.13-110-1115.116.4-1.2918.414.83.59
Michael Ruffin15160.100.40-0.29-0.0145-114.516.2-1.6918.715.63.12
Corey Benjamin32330.100.40-0.310.0718-713.417.2-3.8417.915.12.82
A.J. Guyton13130.050.45-0.39-0.0127-519.515.34.2814.516.4-1.94
Dalibor Bagaric330.010.49-0.490.0109-918.315.82.549.716.3-6.68

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hanno Mottola1111-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-101117.715.91.8312.216.4-4.21
Chris Crawford2726-0.04-0.460.43-0.092-111317.415.61.7818.714.73.90
DerMarr Johnson1313-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-6317.016.01.0312.916.4-3.45
Dikembe Mutombo5960-0.22-0.280.07-0.13-3-6316.116.3-0.2116.614.42.27
Matt Maloney4748-0.23-0.270.03-0.15-3-6316.915.31.5318.013.54.46
Anthony Johnson4342-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.09-6-3-315.316.9-1.5313.518.0-4.46
Lorenzen Wright4343-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.11-90-916.415.90.4814.717.0-2.26
Alan Henderson6766-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.18-7-2-515.817.2-1.4116.614.02.62
Jason Terry7778-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.21-6-3-316.215.80.3215.816.6-0.81
Larry Robinson6363-0.530.03-0.56-0.21-112-1315.317.9-2.5815.516.8-1.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.05,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 110, PHI 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.02,0,0,093.6%
UTA 103, MIN 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.01,0.02,093.5%
PHX 107, GSW 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.22,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.02,093.3%