NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	110		Excitement	7.2 [367]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (DAL): +21.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.2 [1136]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -18.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.07	0.01	9	80%	0.24	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	14	51%	0.11	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Chandler Parsons	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	19	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jae Crowder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Sims	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	17	57%	0.15	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.02	9	69%	0.15	4	-0.18	8	75%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	10	40%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.06	0.04	13	47%	-0.03	5	-0.15	12	83%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.6	34.4	15.6	30.1	1.8	33.3	142.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.1%

PHI -4.2%

PHI -25.8%

DAL +44.3%

DAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	15.1	110.0	104.0	104.2
season	14.6	14.9		107.6	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.0		103.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	14.3	14.8	18.1	15.3
PHI	11.6	13.9	12.3	17.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	66	66	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.04	29	-22	51	15.5	14.9	0.63	13.9	13.3	0.59
Devin Harris	63	62	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.28	18	-11	29	15.4	15.1	0.26	13.9	13.3	0.59
Chandler Parsons	72	71	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.18	17	-10	27	15.8	14.0	1.81	13.7	13.5	0.18
Al-Farouq Aminu	48	46	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	5	-3	15.5	15.0	0.52	11.5	15.5	-4.05
Richard Jefferson	52	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	13	-19	15.6	15.0	0.60	14.8	12.5	2.29
Charlie Villanueva	19	20	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	3	1	13.8	15.6	-1.83	14.2	13.5	0.67
Monta Ellis	75	75	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	6	-5	15.3	15.2	0.04	13.7	13.6	0.06
Jose Juan Barea	46	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	11	-15	15.5	15.0	0.51	14.3	13.1	1.24
Jae Crowder	21	20	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	15	-23	13.4	15.8	-2.33	11.1	14.3	-3.22
Brandan Wright	38	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.22	-18	25	-43	14.4	15.8	-1.33	14.2	13.3	0.93

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	7	6	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-11	15	8.3	14.1	-5.79	13.0	15.4	-2.41
Robert Covington	29	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-11	15	12.9	14.0	-1.14	13.4	16.0	-2.61
JaKarr Sampson	2	2	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-9	11	9.0	13.8	-4.76	15.5	15.3	0.23
Alexey Shved	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-10	13	14.7	12.6	2.06	15.6	14.9	0.69
Henry Sims	51	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-3	-1	13.7	13.7	0.00	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Michael Carter-Williams	73	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-4	1	13.5	14.2	-0.71	15.2	15.6	-0.44
Brandon Davies	29	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	4	-15	13.9	13.6	0.33	14.7	15.5	-0.83
KJ McDaniels	65	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	13.5	13.9	-0.42	15.1	15.6	-0.53
Hollis Thompson	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	1	-9	13.5	13.9	-0.35	15.8	14.6	1.13
Nerlens Noel	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	1	-9	13.7	13.4	0.33	16.0	12.8	3.23
Luc Mbah a Moute	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	4	-15	14.3	12.7	1.60	15.5	15.0	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.01,0.02,0	94.1%
DET 93, MIL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.8%
CHI 91, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.6%