NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	6.9 [460]		MVP	Matt Bonner (TOR): +23.0%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	1.0 [1282]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -12.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.08	0.00	7	100%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	13	47%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Joey Graham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Darrick Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rafael Araujo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.07,0,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	26	58%	0.09	6	-0.16	7	71%	-0.02
Andre Barrett	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	14	40%	0.02	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.06	-0.00	14	62%	0.21	0	0.00	12	100%	0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	14	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	79%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	15	47%	0.09	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.05	0.03	20	52%	0.14	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	40%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
David Harrison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	30.7	16.4	26.5	1.6	33.3	138.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.0%

IND +12.3%

TOR -5.7%

IND +18.9%

TOR -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	14.2	15.6	102.0	108.8	104.4
season	15.6	16.0		107.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.8	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	13.8	13.4	14.6	14.2
IND	13.3	13.8	16.0	13.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	13	13	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-10	12	13.5	14.3	-0.76	11.6	14.6	-2.94
Rafael Araujo	33	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-15	22	13.6	14.5	-0.92	14.5	14.0	0.47
Loren Woods	24	24	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	11.8	14.9	-3.16	14.7	14.0	0.75
Joey Graham	37	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-16	24	12.5	15.2	-2.70	14.6	13.9	0.67
Andre Barrett	43	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-11	14	13.8	14.5	-0.67	15.3	13.4	1.93
Eric Williams	15	14	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	4	-16	18.1	13.5	4.62	12.5	14.4	-1.94
Matt Bonner	49	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-7	6	13.6	14.8	-1.26	14.5	13.8	0.75
Pape Sow	23	23	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.16	-20	12	-32	18.0	13.1	4.98	12.7	14.6	-1.91
Morris Peterson	84	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	14.5	12.6	1.94	14.0	15.2	-1.20
Mike James	98	100	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	2	-12	14.2	13.0	1.23	14.2	13.0	1.20
Charlie Villanueva	86	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	4	-16	14.4	12.9	1.56	14.2	14.2	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	77	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-6	20	13.5	16.2	-2.63	14.8	12.2	2.61
Peja Stojakovic	88	87	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.29	12	-4	16	14.0	15.5	-1.53	14.8	10.3	4.54
Anthony Johnson	80	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-6	20	13.9	15.1	-1.22	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Stephen Jackson	82	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-2	12	14.0	15.0	-1.09	14.7	11.7	3.00
Jeff Foster	64	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-6	20	14.1	14.3	-0.22	14.6	13.5	1.16
Danny Granger	36	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	10	-12	14.3	14.1	0.16	13.6	14.5	-0.87
David Harrison	14	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	9	-10	15.5	14.0	1.53	13.6	14.3	-0.67
Austin Croshere	19	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	15	-22	16.6	13.6	3.02	11.7	14.8	-3.03
Sarunas Jasikevicius	50	50	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.10	-14	22	-36	15.0	13.3	1.69	12.5	15.9	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,1	93.4%
ATL 91, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.98,1	93.4%
WAS 88, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.3%