NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	5.7 [702]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +12.8%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.0 [1297]		LVP	JaVale McGee (WAS): -18.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Seraphin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	18	49%	0.09	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.06
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	14	56%	0.04	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Owens	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	18	48%	-0.00	7	-0.18	6	83%	0.02
JaVale McGee	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.07	0.04	10	56%	-0.01	6	-0.17	7	14%	-0.10

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	8	79%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	67%	0.13	6	-0.16	6	100%	0.03
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	0.03	14	54%	0.02	3	-0.10	13	92%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	30.0	15.5	28.3	1.8	31.0	136.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +23.4%

BOS +18.8%

WAS -4.5%

BOS +7.0%

BOS +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	15.0	15.5	91.7	107.2	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		100.9	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		99.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	16.2	15.2	13.5	14.9
BOS	14.2	15.8	14.2	15.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othyus Jeffers	28	30	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-25	34	13.8	15.3	-1.54	16.4	14.3	2.07
Kevin Seraphin	22	24	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.19	13	-29	42	13.4	15.3	-1.90	17.2	14.2	2.98
Yi Jianlian	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-17	18	17.6	14.1	3.51	17.8	14.2	3.56
Larry Owens	51	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-17	18	14.7	15.0	-0.28	15.3	14.7	0.60
Maurice Evans	45	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	1	-18	15.0	14.7	0.28	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Andray Blatche	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	14.6	16.9	-2.26	14.6	17.8	-3.21
Jordan Crawford	80	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.06	-21	5	-26	15.1	13.9	1.13	15.0	14.9	0.03
John Wall	84	84	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.08	-20	4	-24	15.1	13.6	1.48	14.5	18.3	-3.86
JaVale McGee	64	63	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	0.19	-30	14	-44	14.8	15.0	-0.14	13.7	17.4	-3.67

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	67	67	0.70	-0.20	0.91	-0.06	26	-10	36	14.2	16.8	-2.60	14.8	15.1	-0.33
Ray Allen	77	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.00	21	-5	26	14.5	16.6	-2.12	14.5	16.2	-1.74
Nenad Krstic	55	55	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.09	24	-8	32	14.4	15.8	-1.40	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Paul Pierce	81	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.07	23	-7	30	14.9	15.2	-0.34	15.4	12.1	3.30
Rajon Rondo	87	85	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	0	16	14.6	18.2	-3.60	14.8	15.5	-0.65
Delonte West	11	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	13	-10	14.8	15.0	-0.17	15.4	14.8	0.62
Glen Davis	42	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	24	-32	15.8	14.4	1.40	14.9	14.8	0.09
Carlos Arroyo	5	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	20	-24	21.6	14.6	6.99	11.6	15.1	-3.45
Troy Murphy	30	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	26	-36	16.8	14.2	2.60	15.1	14.8	0.33
Jeff Green	30	31	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	27	-38	16.3	14.4	1.88	14.9	14.9	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 90, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
NJN 84, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	94.4%
NOH 83, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%