NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	7.9 [285]		MVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): +24.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	97		Comeback	4.3 [465]		LVP	Marcus Banks (MIN): -24.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.10
Eddie Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	21	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	18	50%	0.09	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.05
Marko Jaric	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Rashad McCants	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	7	59%	0.03	4	-0.19	3	33%	-0.02
Marcus Banks	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	8	25%	-0.10	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.15	0.02	15	67%	0.31	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.15	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	70%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.08	0.02	10	54%	0.13	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.03
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	11	32%	-0.11	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.01	18	42%	-0.04	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.5	29.3	15.8	25.3	1.6	38.2	138.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +35.3%

CHA +6.6%

MIN -12.6%

CHA +24.3%

MIN -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHA	NBA	MIN	CHA	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	15.6	90.2	98.0	104.4
season	16.1	14.8		101.0	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		104.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	11.9	13.2	16.2	14.2
CHA	13.2	13.3	16.8	14.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	43	41	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.03	9	-14	23	13.7	14.6	-0.95	14.6	14.3	0.25
Justin Reed	41	42	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-10	15	15.4	13.5	1.96	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Mark Blount	53	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-5	5	13.3	15.3	-2.00	14.5	14.3	0.14
Mark Madsen	4	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	20.7	14.0	6.77	11.6	14.6	-2.96
Eddie Griffin	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	1	-7	9.9	14.7	-4.78	11.1	14.7	-3.63
Trenton Hassell	67	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.32	2	-7	9	14.0	14.7	-0.67	14.0	15.2	-1.18
Rashad McCants	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-3	1	14.0	14.7	-0.68	15.1	13.2	1.92
Kevin Garnett	84	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	2	-9	14.4	13.5	0.90	14.7	13.4	1.29
Ricky Davis	79	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	2	-9	14.4	13.9	0.48	14.7	13.3	1.39
Marcus Banks	67	64	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	11	-27	15.0	12.8	2.16	14.2	14.8	-0.55

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	78	80	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-4	13	14.7	13.5	1.19	13.4	17.1	-3.69
Raymond Felton	86	85	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-1	7	14.5	13.5	1.01	14.7	12.2	2.48
Bernard Robinson	38	41	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-1	7	13.5	15.0	-1.44	15.9	13.1	2.81
Gerald Wallace	84	86	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	5	-5	14.8	12.5	2.30	13.2	19.7	-6.45
Matt Carroll	43	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	-9	23	12.3	16.1	-3.82	15.3	13.3	2.03
Lonny Baxter	14	14	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	-3	11	12.4	14.8	-2.40	12.4	14.5	-2.19
Primoz Brezec	54	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	9	-13	16.0	12.5	3.49	14.1	14.4	-0.27
Jake Voskuhl	31	34	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	1	3	13.2	15.0	-1.78	15.4	13.7	1.66
Alan Anderson	20	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	9	-13	13.3	14.7	-1.33	16.5	13.7	2.87
Jumaine Jones	47	47	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.09	-14	19	-33	15.9	13.1	2.78	13.1	15.3	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.89,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.63,0.84,0.9,1	91.7%
NOP 118, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	91.5%
TOR 100, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.96,1	91.4%