NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	7.8 [283]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): +22.8%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	2.0 [520]		LVP	Evan Turner (IND): -15.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.05	0.16	0.00	17	59%	0.30	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.05
David West	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	16	60%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Donald Sloan	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	90%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Ian Mahinmi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	13	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	5	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04
Evan Turner	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.00	14	71%	0.35	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.04	17	63%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	8	56%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	0.02	19	47%	0.09	3	-0.11	5	80%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0.00	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	5	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	25.2	17.4	31.4	3.3	33.6	137.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.4%

IND -7.4%

TOR +14.4%

IND -4.9%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	15.1	106.8	113.3	105.2
season	15.8	15.9		102.7	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.2	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.6	18.8	14.8	16.6	16.9
TOR	15.1	14.8	14.6	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	35	37	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-11	14	17.8	16.3	1.43	15.9	15.1	0.81
Luis Scola	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-5	2	18.4	16.3	2.14	16.1	15.2	0.90
Rasual Butler	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-4	0	19.1	16.5	2.57	16.1	15.3	0.80
Ian Mahinmi	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-4	0	18.0	16.3	1.71	14.5	15.9	-1.45
Donald Sloan	23	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-3	-2	18.7	16.3	2.42	16.2	15.2	0.95
George Hill	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-5	2	16.3	18.7	-2.42	15.2	16.2	-0.95
Roy Hibbert	58	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-6	4	16.3	18.0	-1.71	15.9	14.5	1.45
Paul George	74	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-4	0	16.5	19.1	-2.57	15.3	16.1	-0.80
David West	63	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-3	-2	16.3	18.4	-2.14	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Lance Stephenson	53	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.24	-13	5	-18	16.3	17.8	-1.43	15.1	15.9	-0.81

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	63	64	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-3	14	15.5	15.5	-0.02	16.2	18.7	-2.47
DeMar DeRozan	74	73	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-1	10	16.1	12.7	3.30	16.6	18.5	-1.96
Greivis Vasquez	61	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	1	6	15.9	14.5	1.40	16.5	17.8	-1.34
Charles Hayes	33	29	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	7	-6	15.6	15.4	0.17	17.8	16.5	1.27
Terrence Ross	64	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	10	-12	15.5	15.3	0.28	15.8	19.5	-3.68
Nando De Colo	42	41	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.05	10	-2	12	14.1	16.6	-2.53	18.7	15.4	3.32
Patrick Patterson	47	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	1	6	15.0	15.9	-0.89	16.8	17.0	-0.26
John Salmons	29	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	6	-4	14.8	15.8	-0.99	18.5	16.2	2.33
Tyler Hansbrough	37	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	13	-18	15.9	15.2	0.77	17.6	16.5	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.63,0.84,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.89,0.92,1	91.7%
POR 92, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.76,0.85,1	91.3%
NYK 84, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	90.9%