NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	124		Excitement	9.4 [115]		MVP	Mike James (TOR): +30.1%
Toronto Raptors	120		Comeback	16.7 [49]		LVP	Eric Williams (TOR): -21.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.24	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24	0.19	0.08	0.03	9	88%	0.26	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.06
Raef LaFrentz	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.02	-0.01	10	87%	0.22	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Ryan Gomes	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12	0.06	0.08	0.01	11	57%	0.12	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Orien Greene	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	2	100%	0.16	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	76%	0.15	2	-0.13	5	100%	0.07
Delonte West	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.12	5	-0.18	24	75%	0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.21	-0.02	15	61%	0.39	2	-0.09	11	100%	0.08
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	8	78%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.03	-0.04	12	62%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pape Sow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.13,0.09,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	0.05	-0.20	0.00	27	52%	0.00	2	-0.16	8	100%	0.04
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	8	44%	-0.14	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	30.1	15.7	29.0	2.5	42.5	149.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +46.9%

BOS +21.5%

TOR -7.4%

TOR -15.2%

BOS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	13.2	14.8	15.6	121.6	115.4	104.4
season	14.8	15.6		103.3	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.8		110.5	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.5	13.7	16.0	10.7	13.2
TOR	13.7	17.7	12.8	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	35	37	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.68	8	-4	12	10.1	14.7	-4.59	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Ryan Gomes	73	74	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-9	22	12.7	14.3	-1.61	14.2	16.2	-2.03
Wally Szczerbiak	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-7	18	12.6	14.5	-1.90	14.5	15.5	-0.96
Paul Pierce	67	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	2	0	13.2	13.0	0.20	14.2	16.0	-1.83
Tony Allen	68	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	5	-6	12.3	14.9	-2.63	14.9	14.5	0.38
Kendrick Perkins	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	3	-2	14.6	12.5	2.05	15.3	14.6	0.76
Brian Scalabrine	18	18	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	12	-20	14.9	12.8	2.17	15.3	14.7	0.59
Delonte West	58	58	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.22	2	2	0	14.2	11.7	2.47	14.8	14.8	0.05
Orien Greene	32	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.01	-6	10	-16	14.7	12.5	2.18	16.1	14.2	1.95
Raef LaFrentz	54	54	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.13	-2	6	-8	14.0	12.2	1.83	15.4	14.1	1.29

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	57	55	0.54	-1.04	1.57	0.30	8	-12	20	15.3	14.1	1.17	14.9	11.1	3.80
Rafael Araujo	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-2	0	13.4	15.0	-1.62	13.1	13.2	-0.02
Andre Barrett	18	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-7	10	18.2	14.1	4.09	13.8	13.0	0.78
Matt Bonner	62	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-1	-2	14.3	15.5	-1.19	12.8	13.7	-0.85
Eric Williams	50	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	14.3	15.2	-0.86	12.1	14.2	-2.16
Mike James	86	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	3	-10	14.1	18.2	-4.09	13.0	13.8	-0.78
Morris Peterson	104	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.8	0.0	14.79	13.2	0.0	13.16
Charlie Villanueva	56	56	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	4	-12	14.7	14.9	-0.24	12.2	14.3	-2.09
Pape Sow	72	71	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.53	-6	2	-8	15.5	13.2	2.22	13.6	12.1	1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.86,0.79,0.57,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 127, PHX 122	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.72,0.43,0.17,0	89.6%
HOU 90, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,0	89.5%
ATL 98, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.1,0	89.5%