NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	127		Excitement	8.9 [137]		MVP	Cedric Ceballos (PHX): +33.2%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	2.5 [477]		LVP	Danny Manning (PHX): -9.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.31	0.08	0.22	-0.00	14	69%	0.36	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.07
Antoine Carr	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.14	0.00	8	85%	0.27	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.02	0.15	-0.02	8	62%	0.20	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.04
Greg Ostertag	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	87%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	21	63%	0.13	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	4	55%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Howard Eisley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.00	11	92%	0.36	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Rex Chapman	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.00	14	71%	0.21	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.06
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	22	62%	0.26	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	0.00	10	65%	0.22	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.12
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	0	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	17	46%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	23.3	16.7	28.0	2.5	39.4	134.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +16.5%

UTA +26.2%

UTA +13.6%

PHX -15.1%

UTA +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	15.6	130.9	127.1	104.4
season	15.6	14.6		110.8	106.8
opponent	15.6	16.0		106.5	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	16.5	13.7	18.1	15.6
PHX	14.7	13.5	16.9	11.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	75	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-2	9	16.3	13.2	3.04	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Antoine Carr	35	35	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	4	-3	17.5	14.5	2.94	11.7	15.8	-4.10
Karl Malone	82	81	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	4	-3	14.7	20.4	-5.70	14.3	14.0	0.31
Jeff Hornacek	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	4	-3	14.5	18.1	-3.55	14.4	13.9	0.57
Bryon Russell	78	76	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	6	-7	15.0	18.1	-3.14	14.0	15.3	-1.38
Greg Ostertag	57	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.03	10	-5	15	14.1	17.7	-3.70	16.0	11.8	4.26
Greg Foster	10	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	1	3	19.0	15.2	3.82	15.3	14.1	1.16
Shandon Anderson	31	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	3	-1	18.0	14.4	3.56	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Howard Eisley	29	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	4	-3	14.3	16.1	-1.76	14.9	14.0	0.98
Adam Keefe	20	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	6	-7	20.0	14.4	5.57	14.2	14.3	-0.13

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayman Tisdale	35	37	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-7	9	14.8	14.0	0.85	15.3	15.7	-0.45
Cedric Ceballos	33	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.30	9	-14	23	12.3	15.3	-2.94	17.2	14.7	2.54
Steve Nash	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	0	-5	15.7	14.1	1.66	15.8	15.6	0.25
Loren Meyer	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	1	-7	15.2	13.9	1.22	15.7	15.5	0.23
Rex Chapman	77	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-8	11	14.1	15.1	-1.05	15.1	17.4	-2.29
Danny Manning	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-5	5	13.5	16.3	-2.75	16.0	14.4	1.57
Mike Brown	45	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	5	-15	15.8	12.9	2.81	14.4	16.6	-2.21
Jason Kidd	93	94	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	3	-11	14.1	19.0	-4.89	15.5	18.3	-2.84
Kevin Johnson	91	91	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	5	-15	14.5	10.0	4.49	15.7	13.3	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.72,0.43,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.26,0	91.3%
CLE 107, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.69,0.55,0.26,0	91.1%
HOU 106, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.27,0	90.1%