NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	106		Excitement	6.2 [587]		MVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): +17.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	1.6 [550]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (MIL): -16.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.05	0.01	13	79%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	6	61%	0.17	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.03	0.05	9	73%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	14	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	19	48%	0.07	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Daniel Ewing	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	9	32%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	12	60%	0.22	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.13	-0.10	0.06	19	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	15	93%	0.03
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	7	20%	-0.06	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	15	35%	-0.05	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	28.0	16.6	30.6	1.8	40.5	144.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.3%

MIL -9.8%

LAC +3.4%

LAC +15.3%

MIL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.9	15.6	107.1	98.0	104.4
season	15.2	15.5		103.9	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.7	15.2	14.1	14.0	14.0
MIL	15.5	16.1	14.7	13.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	69	67	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-8	24	13.3	15.5	-2.17	15.1	14.7	0.42
Chris Kaman	64	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-3	14	14.5	13.1	1.31	16.0	12.8	3.14
Vladimir Radmanovic	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	0	8	14.2	13.7	0.46	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Shaun Livingston	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	2	4	14.6	12.7	1.89	14.4	16.1	-1.75
Elton Brand	76	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	5	-2	14.5	12.3	2.14	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Quinton Ross	42	42	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	5	-2	11.7	15.7	-3.95	14.8	15.1	-0.24
Daniel Ewing	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	12	-16	17.1	13.6	3.46	15.1	14.9	0.17
Corey Maggette	31	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.11	2	6	-4	15.2	13.5	1.71	15.5	14.7	0.84
Cuttino Mobley	75	76	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	13	-18	13.4	15.9	-2.54	14.7	15.6	-0.89

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	47	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-15	22	14.5	15.4	-0.91	15.5	12.7	2.86
Toni Kukoc	8	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-2	-4	17.1	14.8	2.36	13.0	14.1	-1.07
Dan Gadzuric	10	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-1	-6	17.1	14.7	2.39	13.5	14.1	-0.60
Andrew Bogut	71	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-4	0	14.7	15.6	-0.90	13.9	14.2	-0.30
T.J. Ford	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	1	-10	16.4	13.7	2.63	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Jiri Welsch	20	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	6	-20	14.4	15.1	-0.63	9.8	15.1	-5.31
Charlie Bell	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-7	6	14.1	16.2	-2.19	13.8	14.3	-0.56
Bobby Simmons	90	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-8	8	14.9	15.7	-0.83	14.4	10.0	4.44
Michael Redd	90	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-8	8	14.6	18.1	-3.50	14.1	12.8	1.32
Jamaal Magloire	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	-2	-4	15.6	14.0	1.61	14.1	13.8	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.11,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.16,0	93.3%
POR 95, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%
MIL 97, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.38,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.19,0.1,0.05,0,0	92.6%