NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	5.5 [684]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +11.8%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	1.2 [520]		LVP	Al Harrington (IND): -21.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.11	-0.02	11	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	65%	-0.01	1	0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	7	35%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.01	12	57%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	0.05	24	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	18%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.12	0.03	14	43%	-0.08	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	24.3	15.8	27.2	2.4	31.5	127.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.8%

POR +8.4%

IND -5.8%

POR +21.2%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	16.1	15.5	108.0	98.9	101.6
season	16.0	15.4		104.3	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.2	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.1	18.1	17.2	16.3	16.4
IND	19.2	17.9	14.1	13.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	55	54	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-6	19	15.5	17.9	-2.43	16.4	15.8	0.58
Rasheed Wallace	52	53	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-6	19	16.0	17.0	-0.93	16.6	15.4	1.23
Antonio Daniels	38	38	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	0	7	17.1	15.9	1.16	16.1	16.1	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	49	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-4	15	15.5	17.6	-2.10	16.0	16.3	-0.27
Arvydas Sabonis	41	42	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-3	13	16.4	16.4	0.03	16.3	16.0	0.31
Dale Davis	42	43	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	8	-9	18.0	15.0	2.93	16.7	15.6	1.11
Bonzi Wells	48	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	14	-21	15.7	17.3	-1.61	15.1	17.3	-2.12
Derek Anderson	50	51	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	7	-7	15.9	17.1	-1.16	16.1	16.1	0.03
Zach Randolph	32	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	12	-17	17.5	15.8	1.75	16.0	16.2	-0.24
Jeff McInnis	33	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	13	-19	17.9	15.5	2.43	15.8	16.4	-0.58

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	32	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.09	4	-11	15	15.4	16.5	-1.17	15.6	16.9	-1.35
Austin Croshere	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	12.4	16.3	-3.95	12.5	16.6	-4.11
Jeff Foster	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-8	9	17.6	15.8	1.83	19.3	15.8	3.53
Ron Mercer	30	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-7	7	15.6	16.4	-0.84	19.3	15.1	4.25
Jonathan Bender	41	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-5	3	16.5	15.8	0.63	15.8	17.0	-1.24
Metta World Peace	50	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	4	-15	15.8	16.6	-0.78	15.7	17.4	-1.71
Al Harrington	76	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	16.1	16.2	-0.13	16.7	15.1	1.58
Erick Strickland	56	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	15.8	16.6	-0.77	15.3	18.3	-3.01
Jermaine O'Neal	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	2	-11	16.7	12.6	4.09	17.5	8.8	8.69
Reggie Miller	62	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	2	-11	16.3	15.6	0.71	15.5	18.7	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 112, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.01,0	93.6%
POR 108, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.27,0.1,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.5%
CHH 99, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.1%