NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	6.6 [478]		MVP	Shammond Williams (BOS): +12.3%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.8 [490]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -21.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	6	79%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.03
Scottie Pippen	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	68%	0.12	5	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Qyntel Woods	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	6	53%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	9	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.05	-0.04	17	53%	0.08	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	64%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.08	0.03	11	61%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	8	82%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	25	62%	0.15	9	-0.28	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	0.00	17	51%	-0.04	5	-0.17	15	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	31.2	17.4	29.5	2.7	37.1	146.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +11.2%

POR +7.5%

POR +18.7%

POR +7.2%

POR +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.5	116.1	112.0	101.6
season	16.0	15.6		104.3	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.7	17.3	15.9	17.2	15.8
BOS	17.8	15.5	14.1	14.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	79	79	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.32	17	-12	29	14.6	22.6	-8.01	15.8	12.5	3.30
Arvydas Sabonis	23	23	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-9	23	15.7	15.8	-0.03	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Ruben Patterson	49	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	0	5	16.9	14.5	2.35	16.1	14.6	1.59
Rasheed Wallace	55	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	7	-9	16.4	14.8	1.56	16.2	14.2	2.02
Jeff McInnis	52	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	9	-13	17.2	14.0	3.15	14.1	16.9	-2.82
Bonzi Wells	70	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	-2	9	14.6	19.2	-4.53	15.1	16.2	-1.09
Antonio Daniels	48	49	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	4	-3	15.4	16.2	-0.76	16.5	14.1	2.44
Dale Davis	41	42	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	5	-5	15.0	16.4	-1.41	16.0	14.8	1.16
Qyntel Woods	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	11	-17	16.0	15.7	0.27	8.7	16.3	-7.54
Zach Randolph	38	38	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	12	-19	17.3	14.7	2.67	14.8	15.8	-0.94

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	11	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-10	15	10.6	16.0	-5.38	10.9	16.4	-5.51
Kedrick Brown	25	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-14	23	13.4	16.1	-2.65	17.2	15.3	1.87
Tony Delk	52	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	15.8	14.7	1.10	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Walter McCarty	36	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-4	3	14.7	15.8	-1.11	16.1	15.5	0.55
Vin Baker	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-2	-1	15.8	14.6	1.14	15.8	15.6	0.23
Shammond Williams	48	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-5	5	14.9	15.9	-1.03	17.1	14.2	2.85
Eric Williams	56	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	9	-23	15.6	14.9	0.70	13.5	19.3	-5.73
Antoine Walker	87	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	4	-13	15.8	7.6	8.22	16.2	8.6	7.57
Paul Pierce	85	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	4	-13	15.9	8.9	7.05	16.5	7.0	9.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.27,0.1,0.02,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	94.1%
POR 95, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	93.5%
NYK 97, CHH 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.2%