NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	99		Excitement	5.7 [661]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): +14.5%
Indiana Pacers	84		Comeback	1.2 [474]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -15.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.07	0.04	23	67%	0.19	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Robert Traylor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
P.J. Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	14	58%	0.09	5	-0.12	8	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	54%	-0.03	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.05
Lee Nailon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
David Wesley	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	8	11%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	16	60%	0.07	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	7	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	24	42%	0.00	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Ron Mercer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	13	42%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	30.2	15.4	24.4	3.4	35.5	133.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +55.5%

IND -7.8%

CHH +10.8%

IND -13.0%

CHH +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	IND	NBA	CHH	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	15.9	15.6	110.0	94.4	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		102.2	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	12.5	15.9	18.8	18.4	16.2
IND	15.7	17.7	15.3	15.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	79	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-5	25	16.0	17.7	-1.69	16.1	15.0	1.06
P.J. Brown	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-1	17	15.9	18.2	-2.35	15.6	17.5	-1.85
Jamal Mashburn	78	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	0	15	16.0	17.8	-1.83	16.0	15.7	0.21
Jamaal Magloire	59	61	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	3	9	14.9	18.8	-3.96	15.4	17.1	-1.77
David Wesley	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	6	3	16.0	17.1	-1.11	15.3	18.0	-2.67
Stacey Augmon	32	31	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	14	-13	17.3	15.7	1.66	16.9	15.4	1.54
George Lynch	18	17	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	12	-9	18.8	15.6	3.24	18.2	15.4	2.85
Robert Traylor	28	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	16	-17	18.5	15.2	3.27	16.6	15.7	0.96
Lee Nailon	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	15	-15	17.8	16.0	1.83	15.7	16.0	-0.21

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	19	20	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-25	35	15.4	16.1	-0.72	16.5	16.2	0.39
Kevin Ollie	42	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-13	11	16.1	15.8	0.35	16.3	16.2	0.09
Jonathan Bender	20	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-9	3	16.5	15.8	0.80	15.6	16.4	-0.82
Ron Mercer	13	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-6	-3	19.5	15.3	4.13	18.3	15.9	2.42
Jeff Foster	32	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-10	5	17.2	15.2	2.06	18.4	15.0	3.35
Metta World Peace	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-9	3	15.3	19.3	-3.98	15.9	18.3	-2.42
Austin Croshere	40	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.21	-20	5	-25	15.3	16.4	-1.15	13.3	18.6	-5.34
Jamaal Tinsley	47	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	-2	-11	15.8	16.1	-0.35	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Reggie Miller	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-3	-9	15.8	16.9	-1.16	16.6	14.5	2.13
Jermaine O'Neal	81	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-3	-9	15.9	16.5	-0.62	16.6	13.0	3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
IND 93, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	93.6%
NYK 98, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.26,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.15,0	93.6%