NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	9.1 [129]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +84.2%
Toronto Raptors	97		Comeback	17.1 [54]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (TOR): -19.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.84	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.84	0.04	0.80	-0.00	7	57%	0.84	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.50	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.31,0.5	0.17	0.33	0.00	24	58%	0.50	0	0.00	12	67%	0.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Anderson Varejao	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	15	39%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	56%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.79	0.79	0.17	0.62	-0.00	19	65%	0.82	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.14	-0.04	14	48%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.11	-0.00	21	57%	0.05	2	-0.08	11	64%	-0.03
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	5	0%	-0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.7	29.6	15.7	27.3	3.3	38.4	141.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.9%

CLE +26.5%

TOR -20.3%

CLE +0.4%

CLE +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.6	107.7	107.8	104.4
season	16.2	15.6		105.6	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.5	13.9	16.4	16.3	16.2
TOR	14.2	16.8	15.5	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	49	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.72	3	-2	5	16.4	16.0	0.47	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Eric Snow	66	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.67	-1	2	-3	16.6	15.3	1.31	15.2	16.7	-1.45
Damon Jones	38	37	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.69	-2	3	-5	16.5	16.0	0.51	15.4	15.8	-0.40
Donyell Marshall	39	39	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.55	2	-1	3	16.5	16.1	0.40	15.7	15.5	0.27
LeBron James	84	83	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	5	-9	16.3	14.9	1.49	15.5	17.0	-1.53
Ronald Murray	85	82	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.44	10	-9	19	15.7	23.7	-7.96	16.1	10.2	5.86
Anderson Varejao	48	45	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.47	9	-8	17	15.2	17.4	-2.25	16.7	14.5	2.16
Drew Gooden	46	47	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.13	-12	13	-25	16.9	15.5	1.38	14.8	16.5	-1.72

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	50	51	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.42	-2	1	-3	16.0	15.0	0.97	16.4	16.1	0.28
Joey Graham	36	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-3	5	15.7	15.5	0.22	18.0	14.9	3.14
Pape Sow	5	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	1	-3	18.8	15.4	3.40	14.5	16.4	-1.85
Loren Woods	5	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	0	-1	12.8	15.8	-2.95	8.7	16.8	-8.10
Jose Calderon	11	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	8	-17	18.2	15.2	2.95	17.2	16.1	1.17
Mike James	80	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.58	11	-12	23	15.3	17.6	-2.26	16.0	18.2	-2.22
Matt Bonner	65	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-1	1	15.4	16.0	-0.51	15.8	17.3	-1.56
Chris Bosh	61	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.47	-3	2	-5	16.0	14.8	1.17	16.2	16.3	-0.08
Morris Peterson	89	89	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	3	-7	15.5	24.0	-8.51	16.3	12.0	4.33
Eric Williams	48	47	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.92	3	-4	7	14.7	16.6	-1.89	16.4	16.0	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.86,0.92,0	90.7%
GSW 118, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.89,0.83,0	89.6%
PHX 107, NYK 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.67,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.73,0	89.6%