inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 116 Excitement12.1 [23] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +84.3%
Washington Wizards 115 Comeback19.5 [36] LVPTony Allen (BOS): -11.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.840,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.34,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,0.84-0.010.85-0.012057%1.077-0.221486%0.04
Raef LaFrentz0.150,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.150.030.130.01664%0.221-0.072100%0.07
Wally Szczerbiak-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.10-0.090.021664%0.031-0.04450%-0.02
Al Jefferson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.011050%0.062-0.074100%0.03
Ryan Gomes-0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.010.18-0.160.031473%0.001-0.02989%0.05
Gerald Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0100%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Michael Olowokandi-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Brian Scalabrine-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.0120%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Orien Greene-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.08-0.01750%0.063-0.1700%0.00
Tony Allen-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00450%0.015-0.132100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.540.540.100.450.012657%0.674-0.121788%0.10
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.140.14-0.010.13-0.02861%0.244-0.10786%0.09
Awvee Storey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.02-0.00-0.01250%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Donell Taylor0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.02350%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.02-0.090.00367%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.06-0.14-0.011472%0.215-0.28475%-0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.06-0.150.002157%0.172-0.26250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.11.727.114.727.31.736.01.620.0160.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +30.9%
BOS +1.3%
BOS +42.5%
WAS -23.7%
WAS -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game13.415.715.6107.4104.5104.4
season14.815.1103.3107.4
opponent15.615.8105.5104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS11.913.214.114.614.413.4
WAS14.314.015.918.118.515.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raef LaFrentz76790.97-0.471.430.709-81713.114.1-0.9815.815.40.46
Wally Szczerbiak82840.77-0.271.030.3614-132713.513.20.3216.513.33.21
Ryan Gomes80830.56-0.060.610.502-1313.114.5-1.3915.416.6-1.21
Orien Greene47490.55-0.050.600.64-34-714.312.81.4517.114.62.46
Paul Pierce86900.420.080.340.62-78-1513.712.51.2315.317.7-2.48
Michael Olowokandi20190.140.36-0.22-0.108-71514.413.21.2519.714.94.86
Tony Allen6261-0.180.68-0.85-0.242-1312.814.3-1.4414.617.1-2.46
Gerald Green1717-0.220.72-0.940.07-1011-2113.113.5-0.3813.816.1-2.31
Al Jefferson3131-0.230.73-0.96-0.05-67-1314.113.20.9715.415.8-0.46
Brian Scalabrine3937-0.270.77-1.03-0.15-45-913.113.6-0.5614.616.3-1.69

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Etan Thomas36380.09-0.590.670.061-2314.916.1-1.1912.613.9-1.32
Antawn Jamison89870.08-0.580.66-0.065-61115.417.2-1.8213.413.8-0.41
Awvee Storey14140.07-0.570.64-0.054-5913.616.0-2.3811.413.7-2.39
Brendan Haywood2323-0.01-0.490.480.05-21-314.616.0-1.4014.313.21.05
Andray Blatche89-0.04-0.460.410.04-32-514.715.8-1.0411.713.6-1.93
Donell Taylor3233-0.10-0.400.300.13-87-1515.415.8-0.4014.213.11.03
Antonio Daniels8482-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.543-4716.014.71.3413.413.7-0.29
Michael Ruffin5349-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.574-5917.314.23.1314.812.32.57
Gilbert Arenas106104-0.550.05-0.61-0.49-21-315.520.5-4.9613.316.7-3.44
Caron Butler9593-0.630.13-0.76-0.45-65-1115.815.10.7513.314.5-1.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.49,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.71,0.55,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.86,0.73,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 121, NOH 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.91,0.46,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.73,088.7%
NOH 110, HOU 1050.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.46,0.67,0.41,088.3%
SAS 96, LAL 940.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.83,0.77,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.58,088.2%