NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	7.0 [434]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +31.9%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	6.5 [107]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): -15.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.32	0.17	0.16	0.01	9	100%	0.38	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.10	0.01	15	65%	0.24	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.00	17	65%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	38%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	15	71%	0.15	6	-0.14	5	100%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	8	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.11	-0.01	16	62%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	8	87%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	16	69%	0.15	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.05	-0.01	21	56%	0.15	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	16	36%	-0.05	2	-0.11	7	71%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	3.8	28.2	16.6	24.0	3.4	33.7	138.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.0%

DAL -4.4%

PHX +4.4%

PHX +9.9%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	12.9	17.2	15.6	119.8	112.6	104.4
season	13.8	16.4		110.2	109.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	11.1	14.1	12.9	12.9
DAL	15.4	16.6	19.5	17.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	63	64	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.23	19	-11	30	12.2	14.4	-2.17	16.9	18.0	-1.12
Boris Diaw	83	83	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-8	24	13.0	12.8	0.11	17.4	16.0	1.42
Shawn Marion	91	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-3	14	13.1	9.2	3.94	17.5	10.5	7.04
Eddie House	26	26	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-6	20	12.0	13.3	-1.29	19.2	16.5	2.69
Tim Thomas	56	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	3	2	12.4	13.6	-1.18	17.6	16.8	0.73
Steve Nash	71	70	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	14	-20	13.3	12.0	1.21	16.6	19.1	-2.55
Raja Bell	71	69	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	16	-24	13.3	12.0	1.21	16.8	18.4	-1.57
James Jones	19	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.09	-11	19	-30	14.7	12.5	2.24	16.7	17.4	-0.64

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	45	43	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-12	16	16.0	18.3	-2.32	12.5	13.3	-0.73
Darrell Armstrong	24	24	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-8	8	15.2	17.9	-2.72	12.0	13.3	-1.31
Rawle Marshall	2	2	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-4	0	0.5	17.6	-17.10	6.0	13.1	-7.09
Marquis Daniels	73	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-4	0	17.9	15.1	2.80	13.5	11.0	2.54
Adrian Griffin	76	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	17.7	15.4	2.34	12.8	13.4	-0.58
DeSagana Diop	40	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	18.4	16.4	2.09	13.5	12.5	0.92
Jason Terry	74	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	17.7	15.7	1.96	13.1	12.3	0.83
Dirk Nowitzki	82	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	0	-8	17.5	15.8	1.71	13.1	11.6	1.55
Jerry Stackhouse	59	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	5	-18	16.5	18.5	-2.03	12.4	13.8	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.53,0.51,0.66,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.15,0	92.6%
NOH 76, HOU 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.1,0,0	91.6%
DAL 121, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	90.8%