NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	76		Excitement	3.9 [1059]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +16.0%
Dallas Mavericks	90		Comeback	1.4 [966]		LVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): -12.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.05
Bernard Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	8	75%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.04	9	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.06	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.03	-0.04	11	77%	0.18	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.01	17	62%	0.15	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	10	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	11	37%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	29.5	15.5	24.4	1.6	25.5	122.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +41.2%

DAL +3.2%

DAL +15.1%

CHA -7.9%

CHA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.6	84.4	100.0	104.4
season	14.8	16.4		100.5	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.0	16.8	16.8	11.8	15.0
DAL	15.6	18.4	16.7	17.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-15	16	10.6	15.7	-5.07	20.3	16.5	3.84
Lonny Baxter	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-18	22	11.7	16.2	-4.40	17.5	16.8	0.69
Bernard Robinson	37	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-18	22	12.8	16.5	-3.73	17.3	16.8	0.50
Matt Carroll	34	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-15	16	14.7	15.2	-0.48	16.4	17.4	-0.94
Jake Voskuhl	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-13	12	14.6	15.0	-0.40	16.5	17.1	-0.67
Melvin Ely	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-12	10	13.9	15.5	-1.65	17.7	16.7	0.98
Kareem Rush	40	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-13	12	13.6	16.1	-2.48	18.0	16.3	1.71
Primoz Brezec	34	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	0	-14	18.3	13.0	5.33	15.8	17.7	-1.85
Brevin Knight	56	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	15.9	13.5	2.38	16.7	17.5	-0.85
Jumaine Jones	51	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-1	-12	16.3	13.2	3.13	16.9	17.1	-0.18
Gerald Wallace	49	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	5	-24	17.0	12.6	4.44	16.6	17.5	-0.98
Raymond Felton	70	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	4	-22	14.7	15.8	-1.12	16.8	17.7	-0.87

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	72	70	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	0	14	17.1	16.6	0.51	15.1	14.5	0.55
Marquis Daniels	56	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-1	16	17.1	17.0	0.08	15.1	14.8	0.35
Jason Terry	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	-3	20	17.2	16.7	0.54	15.8	13.3	2.51
Adrian Griffin	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	0	14	17.6	15.8	1.79	15.7	13.3	2.35
DeSagana Diop	45	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	3	8	16.2	17.8	-1.60	14.5	15.5	-1.07
Erick Dampier	39	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	10	-6	17.7	16.5	1.14	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Josh Howard	23	22	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	11	-8	15.4	17.6	-2.13	14.4	15.2	-0.75
Darrell Armstrong	29	29	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	17	-20	16.7	17.2	-0.54	13.3	15.8	-2.51
Jerry Stackhouse	51	50	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	15	-16	16.8	17.3	-0.46	13.9	16.3	-2.42
DJ Mbenga	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	15	-16	18.8	16.9	1.94	21.0	14.5	6.45
Keith Van Horn	6	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	17	-20	17.5	17.0	0.51	16.0	14.9	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 72, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DAL 86, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DEN 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.7%