NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	86		Excitement	4.2 [988]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +29.0%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	1.2 [547]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -17.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	62%	0.11	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	11	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Maurice Ager	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	0.00	0.10	4	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	19	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	14	46%	0.04	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.02	-0.00	13	27%	-0.11	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.23	0.06	-0.01	19	72%	0.29	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.02	-0.10	17	53%	0.18	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Al Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.05	13	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	0.05	12	53%	-0.01	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.0	30.2	19.4	32.2	3.6	31.4	144.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.7%

DAL -0.3%

GSW +3.5%

DAL -5.8%

GSW +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	17.3	14.0	15.4	93.5	120.7	104.5
season	16.3	13.5		108.7	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	19.0	17.2	19.7	12.9	17.3
GSW	11.0	12.8	11.6	21.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	22	25	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-27	29	13.8	18.4	-4.60	14.6	13.7	0.89
Greg Buckner	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	12.8	17.6	-4.79	16.8	13.8	3.04
Maurice Ager	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-23	21	12.9	18.6	-5.71	21.4	11.8	9.58
Austin Croshere	17	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.24	-13	-12	-1	14.4	18.0	-3.63	16.6	13.3	3.26
Jerry Stackhouse	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-18	11	17.8	16.7	1.13	13.6	14.5	-0.94
Devin Harris	65	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	-11	-3	17.8	16.2	1.55	12.7	17.0	-4.33
DeSagana Diop	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-10	-5	19.8	13.4	6.36	12.3	16.5	-4.13
Dirk Nowitzki	75	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.21	-25	0	-25	17.7	15.4	2.33	13.4	16.3	-2.87
Josh Howard	77	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.12	-22	-3	-19	17.5	16.4	1.09	14.2	12.8	1.42
Jason Terry	69	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.29	-30	5	-35	17.4	17.0	0.36	13.8	14.6	-0.80

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	72	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.30	30	-5	35	14.7	11.3	3.37	17.0	18.7	-1.75
Andris Biedrins	47	46	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.18	25	0	25	12.2	15.9	-3.68	20.4	14.2	6.20
Matt Barnes	81	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-1	27	14.1	13.4	0.71	17.4	17.0	0.36
Stephen Jackson	84	84	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.26	26	-1	27	13.7	17.5	-3.85	17.7	13.0	4.73
Jason Richardson	78	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	3	19	14.2	12.6	1.59	17.3	17.4	-0.13
Josh Powell	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	12.3	14.0	-1.71	13.7	17.4	-3.77
Adonal Foyle	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	12.3	14.0	-1.71	13.7	17.4	-3.77
Kelenna Azubuike	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	15.4	13.9	1.49	11.7	17.6	-5.82
Sarunas Jasikevicius	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	13.5	14.0	-0.50	11.5	17.4	-5.94
Mickael Pietrus	36	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	21	-17	18.4	11.2	7.23	14.3	19.4	-5.11
Monta Ellis	31	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	27	-29	11.8	15.1	-3.24	18.0	17.0	1.07
Al Harrington	18	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	29	-33	11.0	14.7	-3.72	17.0	17.4	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 76, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIA 68, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 82, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%