inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 98 Excitement4.1 [982] MVPGordon Hayward (UTA): +15.1%
Utah Jazz 105 Comeback1.2 [1067] LVPWill Barton (DEN): -10.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wilson Chandler0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.13-0.000.041465%0.0900.003100%0.01
Jusuf Nurkic0.030,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.01667%0.0300.0000%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.010.021155%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.000.01853%0.021-0.01367%-0.01
Juan Hernangomez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.03437%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Alonzo Gee-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.020.01-0.020.021144%-0.0200.005100%0.02
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.000.07876%-0.004-0.0410%-0.01
Jamal Murray-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.0440%-0.053-0.0400%0.00
Will Barton-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.10.02-0.030.101562%-0.014-0.10250%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gordon Hayward0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.150.150.13-0.00-0.021868%0.224-0.0611100%0.05
Rodney Hood0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.00-0.081443%0.071-0.02786%0.00
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.00580%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Jeff Withey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dante Exum0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.01756%0.0200.004100%0.01
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01470%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.060.010.08960%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04658%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.00940%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.631.415.425.81.832.4135.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +28.2%
UTA +9.8%
UTA +7.3%
UTA +3.2%
UTA +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game14.916.214.8106.5112.9107.7
season14.416.1111.6108.0
opponent15.014.5105.0111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.312.816.713.914.9
UTA16.517.813.317.416.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Gee710-0.07-0.430.360.11-6-1-514.614.9-0.3616.516.20.31
Juan Hernangomez1413-0.07-0.430.350.07-5-2-314.215.0-0.8114.216.6-2.41
Jameer Nelson5151-0.17-0.330.16-0.325-121714.215.8-1.5816.815.51.24
Wilson Chandler7879-0.19-0.310.12-0.314-111513.920.4-6.5216.415.01.44
Darrell Arthur2625-0.19-0.310.120.13-114-1514.515.1-0.6114.616.8-2.28
Jamal Murray3637-0.22-0.280.070.14-125-1714.515.2-0.7115.716.6-0.91
Kenneth Faried5355-0.24-0.260.03-0.416-131915.314.40.9017.115.02.03
Will Barton6464-0.24-0.260.02-0.426-131915.014.60.4816.515.70.73
Emmanuel Mudiay4141-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-103-1315.814.21.5815.916.5-0.58
Jusuf Nurkic2424-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.01-114-1517.414.03.4015.516.5-0.98
Danilo Gallinari6666-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.42-1-6515.313.91.4216.415.80.58

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gordon Hayward71710.470.030.440.248-1915.618.2-2.5615.313.71.60
Boris Diaw44450.450.050.40-0.1119-123115.417.0-1.6415.914.01.93
Rudy Gobert70690.370.130.240.40-18-916.415.80.5315.513.02.54
Shelvin Mack53520.340.160.180.1761515.417.3-1.8813.816.3-2.56
Joe Ingles50510.250.250.000.0570716.116.4-0.3214.415.5-1.06
Rodney Hood56540.200.30-0.110.52-1118-2916.415.90.4614.615.3-0.70
Dante Exum40400.160.34-0.180.1316-517.315.41.8816.313.82.56
Trey Lyles41400.150.35-0.210.0052316.116.3-0.1914.015.6-1.55
Joe Johnson31300.090.41-0.320.0907-718.515.13.4814.515.1-0.55
Jeff Withey980.020.48-0.46-0.0116-516.316.20.1211.415.2-3.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 73, MIL 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
MIN 100, UTA 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
CHA 76, DAL 900.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.7%