NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	8.8 [161]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +46.1%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	5.1 [479]		LVP	Raef LaFrentz (BOS): -13.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.2,0.31	0.04	0.26	-0.00	12	64%	0.47	3	-0.16	1	0%	-0.09
Peja Stojakovic	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.02	12	83%	0.30	4	-0.17	5	100%	0.04
David Harrison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.06
Scot Pollard	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,-0.12	0.04	-0.16	0.00	12	67%	-0.01	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.23,0.46	0.46	0.05	0.41	-0.00	25	53%	0.51	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.10
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	12	68%	0.17	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	3	50%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.20
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.7	35.2	16.7	27.3	2.6	38.0	149.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +13.7%

IND -35.8%

BOS +45.0%

BOS +19.1%

BOS +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.6	106.5	106.5	104.4
season	16.0	14.8		102.3	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		104.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.1	15.6	14.8	16.6	15.7
BOS	14.6	14.4	15.9	16.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	36	35	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-2	3	16.4	15.3	1.11	15.5	15.3	0.19
Jeff Foster	57	55	0.03	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-8	15	16.0	15.3	0.69	15.8	14.9	0.90
Anthony Johnson	64	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-6	11	15.8	15.6	0.19	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Sarunas Jasikevicius	29	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	5	-11	15.2	16.0	-0.83	15.5	15.4	0.10
Peja Stojakovic	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-1	1	15.3	17.3	-1.99	15.0	17.1	-2.08
Stephen Jackson	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	0	-1	16.5	13.4	3.06	15.8	14.1	1.68
Fred Jones	59	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.54	3	-4	7	15.5	16.1	-0.60	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Danny Granger	44	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	2	-5	15.5	16.0	-0.50	15.1	15.7	-0.50
David Harrison	28	29	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	10	-21	14.9	16.1	-1.22	15.6	15.3	0.27

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Orien Greene	48	48	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.50	12	-11	23	15.0	15.8	-0.82	15.7	15.8	-0.06
Ryan Gomes	66	63	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.55	5	-4	9	15.4	15.3	0.09	15.1	17.1	-1.99
Delonte West	85	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	0	1	15.7	12.6	3.03	15.9	13.7	2.18
Paul Pierce	80	80	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	1	-1	15.0	17.8	-2.85	15.4	18.2	-2.79
Raef LaFrentz	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	-8	17	15.5	15.2	0.28	16.3	14.4	1.99
Tony Allen	10	9	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	5	-9	11.1	15.9	-4.82	11.2	16.2	-5.01
Gerald Green	2	2	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	1	-1	0.0	15.7	-15.74	5.0	16.0	-10.98
Wally Szczerbiak	65	63	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.24	-8	9	-17	16.4	13.0	3.43	16.2	14.7	1.58
Al Jefferson	23	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	4	-7	16.6	15.0	1.61	16.8	15.4	1.39
Brian Scalabrine	22	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	8	-15	15.4	15.4	0.01	16.7	15.4	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.72,1	91.6%
DAL 101, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.92,1	91.4%
MIN 93, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.73,1	91.2%