inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 97 Excitement7.5 [346] MVPJosh Howard (DAL): +28.0%
Dallas Mavericks 103 Comeback1.2 [1054] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -60.7%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.240,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.240.130.130.021864%0.261-0.026100%0.05
Antawn Jamison0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.140.080.04-0.011669%0.264-0.123100%0.02
Michael Ruffin0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.00283%0.0600.00250%-0.02
Jared Jeffries0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.011056%0.071-0.03540%-0.03
Calvin Booth0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.01650%-0.0100.004100%0.02
Antonio Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02220%-0.031-0.001100%0.00
Donell Taylor-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.01-0.00633%0.012-0.0700%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.610,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.36,-0.41,-0.45,-0.41,-0.45,-0.54,-0.61-0.30-0.30-0.002224%-0.356-0.26667%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Howard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.170.130.021768%0.2800.004100%0.03
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.150.150.070.090.011466%0.243-0.091080%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.050.05-0.050.09-0.01425%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.020.020.010.030.021847%0.061-0.04450%-0.04
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00560%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00650%0.031-0.032100%0.02
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.03-0.00571%0.062-0.07450%-0.02
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.00714%-0.082-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.10.832.318.431.03.639.4156.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +40.8%
DAL +2.1%
WAS -9.7%
DAL +13.2%
DAL +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDALNBAWASDALNBA
this game14.715.915.6102.1110.8104.4
season15.116.4107.4109.0
opponent15.615.6102.9105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.115.214.714.814.7
DAL16.612.517.318.015.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calvin Booth16170.18-0.680.86-0.089-152412.915.1-2.2314.416.3-1.85
Etan Thomas23-0.15-0.350.200.03-60-616.514.71.8115.315.9-0.61
Donell Taylor2626-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-2-213.715.1-1.3714.716.4-1.76
Brendan Haywood4341-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-60-616.113.62.4516.215.70.53
Antonio Daniels2120-0.21-0.290.080.11-115-1617.014.12.8610.217.5-7.29
Jared Jeffries7270-0.23-0.270.05-0.313-91214.017.1-3.1716.613.72.90
Michael Ruffin4341-0.23-0.270.04-0.261-7814.914.60.3717.015.11.97
Caron Butler8078-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.30-1-5415.013.31.6516.413.62.77
Gilbert Arenas9089-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.34-5-1-414.518.4-3.8816.014.21.75
Antawn Jamison8280-0.660.16-0.81-0.36-104-1414.615.4-0.7616.213.92.33

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Howard69710.61-0.110.720.417-1816.314.91.3614.515.4-0.92
Erick Dampier46460.55-0.050.610.357-1814.916.9-2.0015.414.11.33
Dirk Nowitzki69720.470.030.430.3251416.913.23.7214.615.0-0.42
Jason Terry57610.270.230.050.33-28-1017.114.13.0514.914.40.54
Devin Harris36340.230.27-0.05-0.018-21014.117.1-3.0514.414.9-0.54
Marquis Daniels39370.110.39-0.29-0.0142215.916.0-0.0916.213.82.40
Keith Van Horn38380.100.40-0.31-0.0242214.516.9-2.4514.015.2-1.25
Jerry Stackhouse49510.100.40-0.310.0715-414.617.4-2.8213.516.2-2.71
DeSagana Diop21230.090.41-0.320.0615-418.615.23.4215.114.60.48
Adrian Griffin32330.050.45-0.390.08-17-816.515.60.8815.314.40.88
DJ Mbenga99-0.080.58-0.650.04-410-1416.415.90.5815.114.70.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 96, NJN 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.96,193.2%
DAL 80, SAC 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,193.2%
MEM 88, BOS 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.84,192.9%