NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	7.3 [289]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): +24.2%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.2 [793]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -10.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walker Russell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.00	8	75%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	10	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	11	75%	0.16	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Austin Daye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	18	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1	0.07	-0.16	0.01	16	58%	-0.04	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.16	-0.00	10	68%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.12	0.02	21	59%	0.29	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02
Shawne Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Kris Humphries	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	14	53%	0.18	3	-0.15	6	67%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	8	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	18%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	31.4	15.4	24.5	2.6	37.6	139.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +40.0%

NJN +2.3%

NJN +19.8%

DET -14.5%

NJN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	16.9	17.1	15.6	112.9	117.9	102.8
season	16.3	16.2		99.5	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.4		107.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	17.9	18.3	16.6	16.9
NJN	17.7	17.2	16.8	16.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	44	42	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.03	9	-12	21	17.2	16.6	0.64	18.0	16.3	1.71
Jason Maxiell	40	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-4	5	17.4	16.5	0.87	17.9	16.4	1.54
Damien Wilkins	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	0	-3	19.1	16.7	2.43	17.5	17.1	0.39
Ben Wallace	9	9	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	1	-5	17.7	16.9	0.81	17.7	17.1	0.59
Austin Daye	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	8	-19	18.0	16.6	1.37	15.1	17.8	-2.73
Greg Monroe	65	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-8	13	16.6	18.1	-1.58	17.3	16.8	0.51
Brandon Knight	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-7	11	16.7	18.7	-1.93	17.3	15.9	1.40
Tayshaun Prince	69	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.41	1	-4	5	16.6	18.6	-2.07	17.1	17.1	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	55	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	5	-13	16.9	17.0	-0.14	16.5	18.3	-1.73
Walker Russell	36	36	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.41	-9	6	-15	16.6	17.2	-0.52	16.6	17.5	-0.88

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	64	67	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.22	23	-20	43	16.8	18.1	-1.26	17.6	14.5	3.10
Kris Humphries	69	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-3	9	17.2	16.7	0.58	17.0	16.6	0.37
Jordan Farmar	50	52	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-5	13	17.3	16.9	0.49	17.9	15.4	2.53
Deron Williams	75	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.44	-2	5	-7	17.3	15.4	1.90	16.7	18.9	-2.22
Shelden Williams	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	7	-11	18.0	16.1	1.85	17.1	16.7	0.37
Sundiata Gaines	45	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	6	-9	17.2	17.1	0.08	16.0	18.2	-2.20
Jordan Williams	37	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	2	-1	16.6	17.6	-1.03	16.5	17.3	-0.77
Keith Bogans	33	32	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.19	-14	17	-31	16.2	17.8	-1.58	16.1	17.4	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.72,1	93.2%
DAL 80, SAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,1	93.2%
HOU 85, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.8,0.84,0.84,1,1	92.7%