NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	69		Excitement	3.2 [1176]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +5.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	81		Comeback	1.1 [1106]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -10.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	38%	0.00	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.03	11	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	18	34%	-0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	64%	0.09	4	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.00	0.05	11	71%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	12	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.20	-0.01	-0.10	13	26%	-0.02	4	-0.08	8	37%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	28.6	16.5	27.2	2.7	27.6	130.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +36.8%

NJN -4.3%

MEM +7.3%

MEM +5.1%

MEM +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MEM	NBA	NJN	MEM	NBA
this game	14.4	17.5	15.6	77.5	89.0	104.4
season	15.7	17.1		102.1	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	16.1	13.1	13.7	14.4
MEM	17.9	13.9	18.2	20.3	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	33	32	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-17	22	14.4	14.5	-0.04	17.9	17.3	0.55
Jeff McInnis	20	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-19	26	13.6	14.7	-1.03	20.3	16.6	3.69
Antoine Wright	20	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-19	26	13.6	14.7	-1.03	20.3	16.6	3.69
Zoran Planinic	29	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-18	24	13.4	15.0	-1.59	18.1	17.2	0.94
Marc Jackson	18	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-16	20	13.4	14.7	-1.33	19.9	16.8	3.12
Lamond Murray	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-14	16	14.7	14.3	0.35	17.6	17.5	0.12
Jason Collins	51	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-6	0	15.1	13.6	1.57	18.3	16.5	1.76
Nenad Krstic	23	24	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.17	-18	6	-24	14.7	14.4	0.27	15.5	18.2	-2.68
Jacque Vaughn	45	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	7	-26	13.7	15.2	-1.49	15.5	19.6	-4.03
Scott Padgett	53	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	14.1	15.0	-0.88	16.6	18.9	-2.36
Vince Carter	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	6	-24	15.0	13.4	1.59	17.2	18.1	-0.94
Jason Kidd	60	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	9	-30	15.4	12.4	2.97	16.9	18.6	-1.66

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	69	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.12	21	-9	30	18.3	15.1	3.14	14.9	12.6	2.31
Pau Gasol	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-4	20	17.7	16.8	0.85	15.0	12.2	2.86
Mike Miller	68	67	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	1	10	17.2	18.5	-1.35	14.9	13.2	1.62
Shane Battier	72	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-3	18	17.9	16.1	1.85	15.0	12.4	2.58
Bobby Jackson	58	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-1	14	18.6	15.6	2.95	14.9	13.6	1.29
Antonio Burks	34	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	13	-14	15.2	18.9	-3.74	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Lorenzen Wright	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	11	-10	18.2	17.1	1.10	14.2	14.6	-0.46
Hakim Warrick	31	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.28	-8	20	-28	16.7	17.9	-1.27	12.3	15.5	-3.12
Dahntay Jones	7	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	13.9	17.8	-3.96	7.6	14.9	-7.26
Lawrence Roberts	7	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	13.9	17.8	-3.96	7.6	14.9	-7.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAC 117, DAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%
ATL 114, CLE 123	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%