NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	103		Excitement	8.8 [162]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +19.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	102		Comeback	13.6 [66]		LVP	Jumaine Jones (CHA): -26.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.2	0.01	0.18	-0.01	19	54%	0.30	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.12
Andrew Bogut	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	8	90%	0.17	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
T.J. Ford	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.04	-0.14	0.17	-0.01	18	37%	0.18	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.08
Dan Gadzuric	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	14	59%	0.10	5	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00
Jermaine Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	14	70%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.02	11	62%	0.16	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.08	0.00	6	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Primoz Brezec	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	13%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.13,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	16	54%	0.01	4	-0.11	3	0%	-0.10
Bernard Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	13	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.27	-0.27	-0.05	-0.21	0.00	16	41%	-0.23	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.6	28.1	16.4	28.0	2.4	35.2	132.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +55.5%

MIL +24.3%

CHA -12.5%

CHA -22.1%

MIL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	15.6	104.0	101.0	104.4
season	15.5	14.8		104.6	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.0	14.4	15.9	14.9	14.8
CHA	14.8	12.8	11.4	17.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	80	83	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.55	16	-15	31	15.1	13.4	1.74	14.1	13.6	0.58
Andrew Bogut	83	84	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.40	16	-15	31	14.9	13.9	1.00	14.6	11.2	3.36
Michael Redd	86	88	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-10	21	15.1	12.8	2.31	14.5	11.1	3.39
Bobby Simmons	80	81	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-13	27	15.1	13.4	1.74	14.4	12.4	1.97
T.J. Ford	89	90	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-6	13	15.1	11.7	3.42	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Dan Gadzuric	9	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	8	-15	12.1	15.0	-2.93	12.8	14.2	-1.37
Toni Kukoc	18	18	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.08	-14	15	-29	13.7	15.0	-1.36	11.1	14.7	-3.55
Jermaine Jackson	18	20	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	0.01	-16	17	-33	11.8	15.4	-3.60	13.4	14.2	-0.79
Jiri Welsch	32	32	-0.61	1.11	-1.71	0.04	-22	23	-45	13.9	15.2	-1.24	12.8	14.6	-1.83

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	31	30	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.39	21	-22	43	13.9	14.1	-0.23	13.8	15.2	-1.45
Primoz Brezec	52	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.35	-15	14	-29	14.2	13.8	0.45	15.6	13.9	1.64
Kevin Burleson	28	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	3	-7	13.6	14.2	-0.58	13.6	15.3	-1.73
Bernard Robinson	86	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-1	1	13.8	15.3	-1.45	15.1	13.3	1.75
Alan Anderson	12	12	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	6	-13	12.5	14.2	-1.74	14.7	14.8	-0.03
Raymond Felton	76	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-5	9	14.1	13.8	0.36	15.3	13.2	2.16
Keith Bogans	69	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	7	-15	13.8	14.4	-0.60	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Gerald Wallace	89	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.64	4	-5	9	14.5	10.7	3.72	15.0	12.8	2.21
Jumaine Jones	62	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.66	0	-1	1	14.2	13.8	0.38	14.0	16.1	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.68,0.93,0.93,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.93,0.95,0.84,0	91.0%
ORL 100, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.62,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.74,0	88.9%
PHX 121, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.84,0	88.9%