NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	13.5 [8]		MVP	David Wesley (HOU): +57.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	111		Comeback	4.9 [367]		LVP	Ryan Bowen (HOU): -36.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.57	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57	0.20	0.38	0.01	13	81%	0.59	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Luther Head	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42	0.04	0.38	0.00	14	53%	0.45	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Rafer Alston	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.04	0.19	0.00	17	56%	0.26	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
John Lucas III	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	-0.05	0.19	-0.00	4	37%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	6	59%	0.03	4	-0.15	5	80%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.03	-0.22	0.04	26	52%	-0.08	5	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.37	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.23,-0.37	-0.10	-0.28	-0.01	5	0%	-0.35	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.23	0.01	14	60%	0.35	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.03
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.16,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.21	-0.00	13	59%	0.42	3	-0.18	8	75%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	9	65%	0.19	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.01	0.04	15	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.05
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.06
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.18	-0.01	16	39%	-0.20	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.2	0.3	31.7	15.0	23.7	2.0	38.3	1.6	17.6	1.8	24.3	178.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -44.2%

CHA +13.2%

CHA +76.2%

HOU -4.9%

CHA +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	17.1	15.9	15.6	101.9	103.7	104.4
season	16.1	14.8		99.9	100.5
opponent	15.4	16.1		104.6	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	15.2	17.5	15.5	18.8	17.7	16.7
CHA	14.2	15.2	15.1	16.4	22.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	90	93	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-9	13	16.8	19.2	-2.45	15.9	15.8	0.14
Moochie Norris	8	9	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.12	8	-13	21	14.6	17.3	-2.68	9.6	16.5	-6.93
Rafer Alston	89	90	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-7	9	17.6	14.2	3.38	16.0	15.3	0.73
Lonny Baxter	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	5	-15	16.9	17.2	-0.36	15.0	16.5	-1.43
John Lucas III	16	19	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	14.5	17.6	-3.07	15.2	16.1	-0.85
David Wesley	94	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	17.1	16.7	0.44	15.5	19.5	-4.06
Ryan Bowen	45	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	6	-17	17.1	17.1	0.03	15.9	15.9	0.02
Luther Head	77	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	2	-9	17.3	16.6	0.73	16.2	15.1	1.06
Dikembe Mutombo	51	50	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.86	-6	1	-7	18.0	16.3	1.70	17.5	14.5	2.99

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	65	65	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.52	16	-11	27	18.0	12.7	5.29	19.2	13.6	5.57
Brevin Knight	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	16.7	13.9	2.74	17.9	14.9	2.98
Raymond Felton	76	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-5	15	15.1	17.8	-2.63	17.3	16.5	0.82
Gerald Wallace	92	89	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-3	11	16.2	14.1	2.06	17.5	14.9	2.61
Kevin Burleson	13	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	3	-1	14.2	16.1	-1.91	15.5	17.3	-1.73
Bernard Robinson	55	53	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	5	-5	13.6	18.4	-4.78	15.7	18.5	-2.85
Emeka Okafor	62	62	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	7	-9	16.7	14.9	1.79	17.5	16.5	0.92
Matt Carroll	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	3	-1	17.2	15.7	1.42	16.9	17.1	-0.20
Keith Bogans	38	34	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	18	-31	13.8	17.0	-3.20	14.2	18.5	-4.29
Jumaine Jones	36	34	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.09	-7	12	-19	14.6	16.6	-1.95	14.7	18.3	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.74,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.73,1	88.3%
GSW 83, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.73,1	88.0%
VAN 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.64,0.33,0.84,1	88.0%