NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	106		Excitement	9.0 [143]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +31.7%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	1.8 [807]		LVP	Bernard Robinson (CHA): -15.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.01	17	54%	0.09	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Gerald Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	12	56%	0.09	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.06
Primoz Brezec	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	12	70%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.09
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kareem Rush	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.09,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	14	35%	-0.03	1	-0.13	3	100%	0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.17	-0.00	17	74%	0.45	4	-0.14	8	87%	-0.01
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.21	0.00	2	100%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	14	72%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.13,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	12	55%	0.10	5	-0.13	9	67%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	9	50%	0.10	5	-0.24	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	32.2	15.6	26.8	2.3	36.4	141.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +116.9%

CHA -8.6%

CHA -12.4%

CHA -52.0%

BOS +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	13.9	15.6	103.9	107.9	104.4
season	14.8	14.8		100.5	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		104.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.5	14.5	13.6	15.5	14.5
BOS	12.7	13.2	15.2	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	18	18	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.09	0	-3	3	14.3	14.6	-0.28	12.4	14.2	-1.79
Bernard Robinson	56	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-8	13	15.0	13.9	1.09	13.9	13.9	0.02
Raymond Felton	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	7	-17	14.9	14.3	0.55	13.1	14.2	-1.08
Matt Carroll	3	3	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	3	-9	4.7	14.8	-10.14	14.0	13.9	0.14
Kareem Rush	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	6	-15	14.7	14.4	0.31	12.0	14.4	-2.39
Keith Bogans	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-7	11	13.7	15.9	-2.22	14.0	13.7	0.31
Primoz Brezec	68	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-3	3	15.2	13.2	1.96	14.0	13.5	0.53
Gerald Wallace	79	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-7	11	14.4	14.9	-0.46	14.3	12.4	1.91
Jumaine Jones	80	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.3	15.1	-0.80	14.0	13.4	0.58
Brevin Knight	83	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.51	0	-3	3	14.7	13.6	1.14	14.2	12.2	2.03

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	71	71	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.45	19	-16	35	13.9	13.7	0.23	15.1	13.1	2.08
Delonte West	83	83	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-2	7	14.2	12.2	2.06	14.8	13.3	1.47
Ricky Davis	76	76	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.49	3	0	3	13.6	14.6	-0.93	14.9	13.4	1.51
Orien Greene	20	22	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	12.8	14.1	-1.26	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Paul Pierce	88	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	0	3	14.1	12.4	1.69	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Al Jefferson	41	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	7	-11	13.9	13.8	0.11	14.5	14.5	0.04
Marcus Banks	25	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	2	-1	11.9	14.5	-2.58	13.6	14.9	-1.30
Kendrick Perkins	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	11.8	14.1	-2.29	12.1	14.7	-2.63
Brian Scalabrine	19	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	3	-3	15.6	13.5	2.12	15.4	14.3	1.06
Raef LaFrentz	31	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.07	-6	9	-15	13.8	13.9	-0.08	14.6	14.5	0.08
Justin Reed	42	42	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.14	-8	11	-19	14.3	13.6	0.69	13.3	15.4	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 81, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,1	91.1%
IND 88, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.74,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.75,0.46,0.55,0.74,1	91.0%
CHH 82, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.55,0.92,1	90.9%