NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	93		Excitement	8.6 [189]		MVP	Keith Bogans (CHA): +27.4%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	8.9 [93]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -36.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.10	0.18	0.00	4	87%	0.30	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Bernard Robinson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	0.00	7	76%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Primoz Brezec	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.14	-0.06	0.19	-0.01	9	33%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	9	52%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Melvin Ely	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.06
Brevin Knight	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.3,-0.24	-0.06	-0.18	-0.01	23	42%	-0.20	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.16

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	63%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	13	48%	0.05	1	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	20	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	6	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.36	-0.36	-0.02	-0.33	0.01	18	49%	-0.27	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	3.7	30.0	15.4	23.5	2.4	36.5	131.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +50.7%

CHA +8.4%

ATL -23.6%

CHA +14.9%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	16.5	15.6	101.1	96.8	104.4
season	14.8	15.6		100.5	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.4	15.5	17.4	12.3	14.6
ATL	14.8	15.8	16.9	19.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	78	79	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.52	5	-2	7	14.4	15.8	-1.43	16.7	15.6	1.07
Brevin Knight	78	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	0	3	14.9	13.0	1.86	16.8	14.9	1.91
Raymond Felton	62	62	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.56	-1	4	-5	14.4	15.0	-0.63	15.6	18.5	-2.90
Keith Bogans	56	55	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	3	-3	14.5	14.7	-0.29	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Melvin Ely	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	-5	13	14.6	14.6	-0.03	17.1	15.5	1.65
Primoz Brezec	51	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	3	-3	14.9	14.2	0.73	16.2	17.0	-0.89
Matt Carroll	31	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.14	1	2	-1	14.4	14.7	-0.24	15.8	16.9	-1.16
Bernard Robinson	44	47	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.19	-1	4	-5	14.6	14.5	0.12	17.5	15.6	1.86

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	3	-9	14.7	17.1	-2.43	13.8	14.8	-0.99
John Edwards	5	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	1	-5	11.0	16.9	-5.86	12.8	14.7	-1.86
Royal Ivey	20	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	16.3	16.6	-0.25	13.7	14.8	-1.06
Josh Childress	43	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-6	9	15.9	17.1	-1.24	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Salim Stoudamire	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	1	-5	14.8	17.4	-2.53	12.9	15.3	-2.45
Tyronn Lue	58	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.53	9	-12	21	16.7	16.3	0.42	15.4	13.1	2.31
Zaza Pachulia	73	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-7	11	17.2	14.0	3.18	15.4	11.4	4.04
Joe Johnson	88	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-4	5	16.9	11.0	5.86	14.7	12.8	1.86
Josh Smith	48	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	9	-21	17.3	15.8	1.49	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Al Harrington	79	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-3	3	16.9	14.4	2.50	14.6	14.3	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.84,0.73,0	90.9%
PHI 107, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.96,0	89.7%
SEA 98, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.47,0.78,0.78,0.91,0	89.5%