NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	8.2 [232]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +66.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	11.7 [87]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (MEM): -13.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.66	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.66	0.06	0.59	-0.01	17	57%	0.70	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	9	68%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	12	54%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	9	65%	0.09	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Robert Swift	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.08	-0.00	7	100%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.20	0.00	9	61%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.25,0.14	0.14	0.18	-0.03	0.00	28	65%	0.29	4	-0.15	12	83%	0.05
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	11	32%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	26.6	17.4	22.4	2.5	33.1	129.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +52.4%

MEM -12.1%

MEM -0.7%

SEA +5.1%

SEA +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MEM	NBA	SEA	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	17.7	15.6	111.4	109.0	104.4
season	15.0	17.1		108.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.8		100.0	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.1	11.9	15.6	20.5	14.9
MEM	18.2	16.9	15.7	20.6	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	54	54	1.07	-0.57	1.65	0.40	23	-22	45	14.8	15.0	-0.22	18.7	16.0	2.74
Earl Watson	48	49	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-10	21	15.6	13.9	1.72	19.3	15.6	3.70
Ray Allen	73	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.60	2	-1	3	15.1	13.7	1.36	17.4	18.9	-1.48
Johan Petro	55	57	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.59	2	-1	3	16.0	12.9	3.13	18.1	16.9	1.23
Damien Wilkins	28	27	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-13	27	14.4	15.1	-0.64	19.0	17.1	1.92
Luke Ridnour	58	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	7	-13	14.3	16.0	-1.67	16.7	19.8	-3.15
Robert Swift	30	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	4	-7	13.5	15.6	-2.02	17.8	17.6	0.19
Chris Wilcox	34	35	-0.57	1.07	-1.65	0.07	-22	23	-45	15.0	14.8	0.22	16.0	18.7	-2.74
Rashard Lewis	60	60	-0.67	1.17	-1.84	-0.20	-16	17	-33	14.3	16.1	-1.77	16.5	20.0	-3.42

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	55	53	0.34	-0.84	1.17	-0.31	22	-23	45	16.6	19.4	-2.88	15.8	13.4	2.38
Chucky Atkins	68	65	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.30	15	-16	31	16.2	22.5	-6.30	15.4	13.3	2.11
Dahntay Jones	10	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	20.7	17.3	3.42	12.5	15.2	-2.75
Hakim Warrick	10	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	1	-3	16.9	17.8	-0.86	14.2	14.9	-0.75
Shane Battier	69	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	0	-1	17.3	18.7	-1.40	13.9	18.0	-4.06
Brian Cardinal	13	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	8	-17	20.9	17.1	3.82	12.4	15.3	-2.90
Bobby Jackson	29	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	11	-23	20.8	16.1	4.69	14.9	14.8	0.06
Eddie Jones	65	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.59	4	-5	9	16.8	20.1	-3.31	15.0	14.4	0.65
Pau Gasol	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.49	0	-1	1	17.6	18.8	-1.20	15.1	10.4	4.73
Mike Miller	42	42	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.41	-20	19	-39	19.8	15.7	4.06	15.1	14.7	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.47,0.78,0.78,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.72,0	89.5%
IND 114, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.47,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.96,0	89.2%
PHI 107, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.96,0	89.2%