NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	6.4 [538]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +20.1%
Orlando Magic	85		Comeback	1.6 [381]		LVP	Steve Francis (ORL): -22.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.11	0.01	21	57%	0.25	2	-0.05	14	100%	0.12
Richard Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	10	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	7	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	10	45%	-0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	9	58%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	12	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	10	42%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	13	57%	-0.01	7	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	30.2	16.6	31.7	1.8	32.5	140.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +2.1%

NJN +22.0%

NJN +3.5%

NJN +18.8%

NJN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.6	107.9	95.5	104.4
season	15.7	16.4		102.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.9	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	19.8	14.6	18.0	16.4
ORL	16.6	18.1	14.8	14.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	53	51	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-8	27	15.4	17.8	-2.37	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Jason Kidd	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-1	13	16.4	16.5	-0.10	16.3	14.5	1.78
Richard Jefferson	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	1	9	16.6	15.4	1.19	16.2	14.6	1.64
Vince Carter	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	1	9	15.6	19.5	-3.92	16.2	15.1	1.05
Lamond Murray	49	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	2	7	17.8	14.6	3.17	15.9	16.1	-0.24
Marc Jackson	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	6	-1	15.0	17.1	-2.14	13.3	17.4	-4.16
Jacque Vaughn	17	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	12	-13	16.5	16.4	0.10	14.1	16.5	-2.40
Scott Padgett	24	25	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	14	-17	18.2	15.7	2.54	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Jeff McInnis	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	11	-11	17.0	16.3	0.69	13.8	16.3	-2.45
Nenad Krstic	36	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	12	-13	16.8	16.1	0.65	19.0	13.8	5.15
Jason Collins	8	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	16	-21	16.7	16.4	0.39	18.7	15.7	3.00

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	32	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-12	13	14.2	17.0	-2.83	17.1	16.0	1.10
Tony Battie	48	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-9	7	17.7	13.9	3.87	16.2	16.7	-0.51
DeShawn Stevenson	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-3	-5	16.8	14.8	2.01	14.8	18.7	-3.91
Jameer Nelson	41	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	15.0	16.8	-1.79	17.9	15.1	2.84
Steve Francis	77	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-3	-5	15.8	17.0	-1.19	16.5	15.8	0.73
Hedo Turkoglu	58	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	15.4	17.0	-1.54	17.4	14.6	2.86
Dwight Howard	80	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	0	-11	15.6	19.4	-3.87	16.0	20.9	-4.92
Grant Hill	58	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	3	-17	16.7	14.6	2.13	16.1	17.1	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0	94.0%
MIL 111, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.4%
DET 78, HOU 70	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.22,0.39,0.31,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.0%