NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	6.5 [547]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +24.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.4 [512]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -14.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.14	-0.01	22	64%	0.31	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.11
Myles Turner	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	14	77%	0.24	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	5	90%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	41%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	69%	0.15	6	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.18	0.01	0.09	23	66%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	17	56%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	53%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	17	51%	-0.00	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	30.2	15.4	25.3	1.8	39.1	136.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +52.9%

MIN -0.1%

IND +10.1%

MIN -20.7%

IND +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	14.8	110.1	103.0	107.7
season	14.9	15.3		107.5	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.2	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	16.4	14.7	15.6	15.3
MIN	15.0	13.6	14.1	12.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	76	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-7	20	14.3	18.6	-4.29	13.9	13.1	0.75
Paul George	77	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.31	10	-4	14	14.4	18.2	-3.80	13.7	13.6	0.15
CJ Miles	60	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-5	16	14.5	16.4	-1.83	14.2	12.9	1.32
Jeff Teague	74	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	14.0	19.0	-5.04	14.3	12.0	2.22
Thaddeus Young	67	66	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	6	-6	14.4	17.1	-2.69	14.0	13.0	0.99
Lavoy Allen	33	36	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	0	6	17.3	14.3	3.05	12.7	14.2	-1.54
Aaron Brooks	25	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	7	-8	19.0	14.0	5.04	12.0	14.3	-2.22
Glenn Robinson	35	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	14	-22	15.9	14.9	0.99	12.4	14.4	-2.02
Monta Ellis	26	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	7	-8	18.6	14.1	4.48	14.1	13.5	0.64
Al Jefferson	22	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	13	-20	18.3	14.4	3.92	13.7	13.7	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	9	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-7	8	12.9	13.8	-0.87	17.7	15.0	2.70
Gorgui Dieng	71	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-12	18	13.7	13.5	0.23	15.0	15.9	-0.83
Kris Dunn	31	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-5	4	13.2	13.9	-0.66	18.1	14.2	3.95
Nemanja Bjelica	31	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-1	-4	13.3	13.9	-0.56	17.9	14.1	3.82
Zach LaVine	87	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-8	10	13.7	13.4	0.34	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Ricky Rubio	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	13.9	13.2	0.66	14.2	18.1	-3.95
Shabazz Muhammad	40	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	6	-18	13.2	14.0	-0.80	17.2	14.0	3.15
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	1	-8	13.9	12.6	1.35	14.2	19.3	-5.11
Andrew Wiggins	82	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	3	-12	13.8	13.2	0.56	14.4	19.3	-4.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, ORL 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.05,0,0,0	94.0%
MIL 104, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.4%
SAC 114, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.9%