inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 78 Excitement6.5 [519] MVPMaurice Evans (DET): +14.8%
Houston Rockets 70 Comeback1.1 [588] LVPTracy McGrady (HOU): -25.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maurice Evans0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.040.07-0.04753%0.1500.001100%0.01
Rasheed Wallace0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.060.001544%0.061-0.03250%-0.01
Chauncey Billups0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.00-0.00-0.011054%0.072-0.06475%-0.01
Richard Hamilton-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.030.011756%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.021644%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Darko Milicic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00343%-0.021-0.021100%0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.00617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.00-0.01923%-0.031-0.05425%-0.06

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.070.070.010.03-0.03870%0.164-0.09450%-0.04
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01863%0.072-0.02367%-0.03
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02450%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.02350%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01638%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.00722%-0.1000.004100%0.04
Yao Ming0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.070.001461%0.199-0.35580%0.01
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.17-0.09-0.001619%-0.231-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.13.732.217.728.22.635.4141.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +26.6%
HOU -13.2%
DET +5.9%
DET +30.2%
DET +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETHOUNBADETHOUNBA
this game18.515.615.692.982.4104.4
season16.916.1108.399.9
opponent16.115.8101.4101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.718.518.220.918.5
HOU15.216.717.013.415.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton68670.64-0.140.790.2912-41618.020.8-2.8115.715.20.50
Ben Wallace66650.63-0.130.770.3410-21218.718.10.6115.415.9-0.50
Tayshaun Prince75760.52-0.020.540.259-11018.816.42.3415.813.82.00
Chauncey Billups54560.51-0.010.510.249-11017.121.1-3.9915.415.9-0.50
Rasheed Wallace65660.320.180.130.2044018.518.6-0.0615.515.9-0.49
Antonio McDyess26270.040.46-0.410.0117-618.418.6-0.1615.515.6-0.12
Darko Milicic9100.000.50-0.49-0.0317-616.618.8-2.2219.615.04.57
Carlos Arroyo3029-0.010.51-0.510.02-19-1021.117.13.9915.915.40.50
Maurice Evans2729-0.160.66-0.82-0.01-513-1819.718.01.6714.016.4-2.43

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luther Head15140.04-0.540.580.040-8813.316.0-2.7120.918.12.79
Dikembe Mutombo1514-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-7619.214.84.4115.919.1-3.13
Stromile Swift4645-0.11-0.390.28-0.172-101215.315.9-0.6621.115.65.45
Ryan Bowen2223-0.16-0.340.17-0.05-4-4015.815.50.2815.719.6-3.97
Derek Anderson4646-0.18-0.320.13-0.15-1-7614.716.6-1.8919.217.71.55
Tracy McGrady5756-0.23-0.270.03-0.12-4-4016.214.22.0718.019.6-1.61
Jon Barry5049-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.26-4-4015.715.40.2819.517.22.29
Juwan Howard4342-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.04-124-1615.215.9-0.6715.721.3-5.60
Yao Ming6465-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.29-5-3-215.515.7-0.2019.017.11.85
David Wesley6766-0.580.08-0.67-0.26-113-1415.615.50.0818.518.7-0.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.22,0.39,0.31,0.15,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 90, WAS 790.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.02,0,093.7%
TOR 97, MIL 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.02,093.4%
NJN 96, ORL 850.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.05,0,0,093.0%