inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 84 Excitement3.3 [1152] MVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +14.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers 102 Comeback1.1 [1121] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -8.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01562%0.0300.003100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.00-0.06550%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Steve Francis0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.011354%0.052-0.031369%-0.01
Bo Outlaw0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.032100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Terence Morris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Kasun0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.03753%0.043-0.04580%-0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00965%0.014-0.022100%0.00
Kelvin Cato-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.0330%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tony Battie-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00440%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.02642%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.080,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.011142%-0.042-0.0520%-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.03-0.021463%0.151-0.01757%-0.03
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.120.010.061075%0.0700.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.011254%0.0600.00425%-0.02
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03233%0.0200.002100%0.01
Zendon Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05217%0.0010.00250%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Mike Wilks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.041143%0.012-0.01650%-0.03
Luke Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01837%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05530%-0.013-0.0200%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.00-0.031740%-0.014-0.06667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.62.832.016.531.42.730.3144.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +17.5%
ORL -1.0%
CLE +16.8%
CLE +16.8%
ORL -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCLENBAORLCLENBA
this game16.116.815.696.6115.9104.4
season16.416.2104.4105.6
opponent15.515.7103.9105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.017.515.714.016.1
CLE17.315.215.619.316.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Kasun10110.00-0.500.50-0.186-243012.316.6-4.2719.716.43.31
Terence Morris1717-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-222613.016.8-3.8315.817.1-1.32
Bo Outlaw2020-0.05-0.450.400.22-9-9017.215.71.5216.117.0-0.88
Kelvin Cato2123-0.11-0.390.290.16-9-9016.316.00.2715.917.2-1.30
Jameer Nelson3740-0.13-0.370.240.04-6-12615.216.7-1.4616.417.1-0.70
Pat Garrity2626-0.14-0.360.23-0.11-1-171614.816.6-1.8216.616.9-0.30
Keyon Dooling5352-0.24-0.260.01-0.240-181814.818.1-3.3917.016.60.32
Hedo Turkoglu4143-0.25-0.25-0.010.27-180-1817.914.53.4516.417.2-0.85
Tony Battie3534-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-12-6-616.815.61.2017.316.50.76
DeShawn Stevenson4746-0.38-0.12-0.270.03-14-4-1016.915.21.6817.216.50.72
Dwight Howard6262-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.08-11-7-416.415.41.0116.717.1-0.35
Steve Francis6666-0.46-0.04-0.420.13-202-2216.714.02.6817.315.51.77

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James62620.500.000.50-0.2325-73216.318.2-1.8816.714.62.02
Larry Hughes56570.390.110.270.06117417.016.50.5716.814.72.06
Drew Gooden46470.370.130.25-0.01135816.716.9-0.1917.114.82.28
Eric Snow38370.280.220.06-0.131441016.816.9-0.0717.115.31.74
Zydrunas Ilgauskas55530.270.230.04-0.3220-22216.217.8-1.5817.114.52.55
Damon Jones52510.240.26-0.01-0.14135816.916.70.1316.315.70.61
Donyell Marshall42430.180.32-0.13-0.17126616.517.1-0.5415.816.4-0.57
Alan Henderson25240.170.33-0.160.26-321-2418.416.22.1413.916.9-3.05
Luke Jackson38360.090.41-0.320.00315-1217.016.70.3014.817.0-2.13
Zendon Hamilton870.000.50-0.500.18-624-3018.116.71.4210.916.5-5.68
Sasha Pavlovic990.000.50-0.500.18-624-3017.716.70.9311.616.6-5.05
Mike Wilks990.000.50-0.500.18-624-3017.716.70.9311.616.6-5.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 68, DAL 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CHI 78, MIA 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
CLE 84, PHI 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%