inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 68 Excitement2.6 [1244] MVPJosh Howard (DAL): +5.1%
Dallas Mavericks 104 Comeback1.0 [1234] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -11.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.03-0.00-0.06567%0.033-0.008100%0.01
Sean Marks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00375%0.021-0.002100%0.00
Tony Massenburg0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02654%0.0000.001100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06729%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mike Wilks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.01-0.05650%-0.0130.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01650%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.11-0.00-0.07621%-0.032-0.01250%-0.01
Tony Parker-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.01-0.041339%0.013-0.06250%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01636%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Glenn Robinson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.01743%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Robert Horry-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0140%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.16-0.00-0.0599%-0.1200.0040%-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Howard0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01865%0.0500.001100%-0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.02-0.021255%0.0410.00771%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00-0.03370%0.0410.00475%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.001353%0.0200.004100%0.02
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.08786%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00-0.01580%0.053-0.0400%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00275%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06312%0.0000.00250%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.04868%0.012-0.023100%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.01373%0.034-0.07540%-0.02
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02729%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.12-0.00-0.07825%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.82.832.020.831.03.533.5150.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +35.8%
DAL +6.8%
DAL +7.6%
SAS -0.1%
SAS -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game15.515.515.573.1111.8104.0
season16.314.9105.8108.2
opponent15.515.6103.498.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.517.514.614.415.5
DAL13.917.614.816.215.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Massenburg2627-0.00-0.500.500.20-7-292213.616.2-2.6016.615.11.57
Nazr Mohammed2728-0.00-0.500.500.20-7-292213.616.2-2.6216.315.21.10
Tony Parker4845-0.17-0.330.170.16-11-251415.615.30.3615.515.6-0.10
Mike Wilks3133-0.17-0.330.160.21-13-231016.315.01.2116.315.11.22
Beno Udrih4647-0.17-0.330.160.47-22-14-813.717.2-3.5615.115.9-0.83
Brent Barry4645-0.21-0.290.090.20-14-22813.717.2-3.4715.915.20.72
Glenn Robinson4039-0.23-0.270.050.27-17-19215.715.30.4414.216.4-2.21
Rasho Nesterovic3635-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-251418.113.84.3815.415.6-0.19
Sean Marks4143-0.29-0.21-0.070.36-22-14-814.616.1-1.4615.815.30.47
Manu Ginobili3433-0.32-0.18-0.130.18-17-19215.315.5-0.2014.815.9-1.03
Robert Horry3737-0.32-0.18-0.130.21-18-18017.813.93.9214.915.9-0.95
Bruce Bowen5353-0.37-0.13-0.240.25-21-15-616.813.63.2115.815.20.60

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki50480.410.090.32-0.2623131015.215.9-0.6417.713.04.71
Michael Finley49470.410.090.31-0.3325111415.215.8-0.6216.314.61.71
Josh Howard42420.400.100.30-0.242214815.215.7-0.5117.713.64.13
Jason Terry44430.350.150.21-0.031323-1015.415.6-0.2017.513.73.83
Erick Dampier43430.300.200.10-0.021125-1415.315.7-0.3117.613.63.96
Keith Van Horn44460.200.30-0.11-0.211422-816.015.10.9213.717.2-3.52
Devin Harris49500.150.35-0.21-0.5323131015.615.40.2013.717.5-3.83
Marquis Daniels44450.100.40-0.31-0.251224-1215.815.20.6214.016.8-2.73
Jerry Stackhouse39400.100.41-0.31-0.08630-2415.615.50.1313.816.7-2.94
Shawn Bradley21220.080.42-0.35-0.221026-1615.615.50.1312.316.4-4.10
Alan Henderson28270.010.49-0.47-0.401422-815.515.5-0.0713.616.2-2.62
Darrell Armstrong12120.000.50-0.50-0.21729-2216.215.40.8415.115.5-0.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 84, CLE 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
UTA 86, BOS 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
MIN 69, SAS 860.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%