inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 78 Excitement2.9 [1210] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +9.8%
Miami Heat 115 Comeback1.2 [1284] LVPCarlos Boozer (CHI): -7.3%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.000.01-0.05853%0.062-0.011100%0.01
Taj Gibson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00667%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.103150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Malcolm Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00140%0.0000.0030%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.071030%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Marquis Teague-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.0530%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.010,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.02760%0.032-0.056100%0.01
Marco Belinelli-0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.021345%0.011-0.023100%0.01
Daequan Cook-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.14-0.00-0.1060%-0.032-0.0100%0.00
Nate Robinson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.021042%0.034-0.09650%-0.02
Carlos Boozer-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.01940%-0.042-0.032100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.04-0.041259%0.173-0.08850%-0.05
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.180.010.10787%0.0800.0010100%0.03
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.029100%0.105-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.01861%0.051-0.03250%-0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.031162%0.021-0.01250%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.082100%0.0000.003100%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.010.011054%0.042-0.05475%-0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.02350%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.41.839.018.032.13.536.2161.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +42.5%
CHI -3.2%
MIA +1.7%
MIA +7.2%
MIA +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMIANBACHIMIANBA
this game17.814.415.487.6127.8104.1
season16.615.7101.7110.2
opponent15.915.2102.4102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI18.417.819.316.017.8
MIA15.212.713.716.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malcolm Thomas340.00-0.500.500.09-3-343123.317.75.6817.514.23.29
Vladimir Radmanovic1919-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-404315.918.4-2.4116.313.82.48
Nazr Mohammed3129-0.04-0.460.420.28-11-261517.518.1-0.6015.313.91.41
Marquis Teague2926-0.08-0.420.340.30-13-241115.818.8-3.0415.014.10.91
Taj Gibson2724-0.10-0.400.300.37-16-21516.918.3-1.3715.214.11.11
Daequan Cook4342-0.11-0.390.270.47-20-17-317.318.3-1.0514.614.20.40
Carlos Boozer4347-0.40-0.10-0.300.30-24-13-1119.316.52.7813.115.7-2.53
Jimmy Butler5760-0.41-0.09-0.310.33-25-12-1318.117.40.6814.114.8-0.67
Nate Robinson6064-0.42-0.08-0.340.28-24-13-1118.815.83.0414.115.0-0.91
Joakim Noah5861-0.46-0.04-0.420.30-26-11-1518.117.50.6013.915.3-1.41
Marco Belinelli7574-0.48-0.02-0.460.28-26-11-1517.718.4-0.6114.214.9-0.63

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier40410.500.000.50-0.7342-54714.014.6-0.6418.217.50.70
Chris Bosh56530.460.040.42-0.3327101713.715.5-1.7919.215.83.47
Norris Cole56560.420.080.34-0.3727101714.713.90.8116.719.7-2.95
LeBron James61590.410.090.32-0.2924131114.214.6-0.3918.516.51.98
Dwyane Wade54530.410.090.32-0.533252713.815.2-1.3518.616.71.83
Udonis Haslem31280.100.40-0.31-0.17928-1913.914.6-0.7419.717.02.78
Ray Allen34360.090.41-0.32-0.6224131113.714.7-1.0417.118.3-1.23
Mario Chalmers34330.080.42-0.34-0.211027-1713.914.7-0.8119.716.72.95
Mike Miller18200.040.46-0.420.04037-3715.414.11.3614.218.9-4.63
Chris Andersen19200.000.50-0.50-0.441522-714.514.30.2217.418.0-0.57
Rashard Lewis16160.000.50-0.500.26-946-5516.513.92.6115.218.4-3.16
James Jones16160.000.50-0.500.26-946-5516.513.92.6115.218.4-3.16
Joel Anthony15140.000.50-0.500.21-744-5116.713.92.7715.618.3-2.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 94, NJN 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
LAL 90, OKC 1190.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
VAN 76, LAL 980.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%