NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	2.8 [1182]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +8.5%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	1.2 [982]		LVP	Walt Williams (HOU): -6.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	59%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	50%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	45%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.11	13	60%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	62%	-0.00	4	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Carlos Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	13	68%	0.10	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	9	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	16	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.7	25.2	15.4	23.5	1.5	26.7	115.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +28.7%

NJN +2.5%

NJN +1.4%

NJN +16.7%

NJN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.2	102.2	114.0	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		102.4	102.1
opponent	14.7	14.6		103.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	20.1	14.8	11.7	15.0
NJN	13.4	19.9	15.8	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	40	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	-21	30	12.5	16.9	-4.42	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Kenny Thomas	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.11	-1	-11	10	15.8	14.4	1.46	18.2	14.5	3.72
Walt Williams	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-2	-8	16.5	14.6	1.91	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Kelvin Cato	26	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	1	-14	16.2	14.5	1.61	15.2	16.5	-1.35
Thomas Hamilton	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-15	18	14.8	15.5	-0.76	16.7	15.0	1.72
Bryce Drew	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-13	14	14.5	16.2	-1.61	16.5	15.2	1.35
Cuttino Mobley	66	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-10	8	14.2	17.0	-2.79	16.9	14.3	2.53
Shandon Anderson	44	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	5	-22	17.2	13.0	4.23	16.1	16.1	-0.03
Carlos Rogers	52	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	14.4	15.8	-1.46	14.5	18.2	-3.72
Steve Francis	42	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	7	-26	15.9	14.2	1.71	14.9	17.2	-2.36

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	64	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.01	17	-5	22	15.4	17.8	-2.42	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Stephon Marbury	57	56	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.21	23	-11	34	14.1	19.3	-5.18	15.4	14.3	1.14
Kerry Kittles	58	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.15	21	-9	30	15.1	17.9	-2.77	15.5	14.2	1.26
Keith Van Horn	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.20	22	-10	32	16.1	16.3	-0.18	15.8	12.7	3.01
Jim McIlvaine	26	26	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.18	15	-3	18	17.7	15.5	2.12	18.2	13.8	4.40
Jamie Feick	67	66	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.32	-3	15	-18	15.5	17.7	-2.12	13.8	18.2	-4.40
Scott Burrell	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.34	-10	22	-32	16.3	16.1	0.18	12.7	15.8	-3.01
Sherman Douglas	49	48	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	24	-36	17.9	14.2	3.74	14.1	16.0	-1.96
Lucious Harris	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	20	-28	20.1	14.9	5.25	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Johnny Newman	29	27	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	17	-22	17.8	15.4	2.42	15.5	14.8	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 76, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CHI 78, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
IND 72, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%